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Wednesday, February 26, 2020

$SPX - VIX and Volatility

SPX plummeted after breaking the turquoise fork.

The white support is effectively being tested, and SPX isn't out of the woods until this week is over.  A huge gap is overhead, and SPX is going to attempt to push with a pop next week.

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SPX is testing weekly support.

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SVXY made a crashy drop after busting the orange, but then hit a support yesterday at blue.  In one week it's dropped almost all it's gain since October.

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VIX melted up through the rectangle yesterday like butter.  Resistance becomes support.

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VXO testing weekly resistance.

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72 comments:

  1. The bloodletting stopped right at these lines.

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  2. Shock and awe move for TVIX! A double in 4 days!! No other etf can match it.

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  3. Replies
    1. Yes probably. I am interested entry sometime this week. Came down to my $54's yesterday.

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  4. Remember about parabolic moves. TVIX They collapse. A 50% retracement is about $60.

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  5. Do you see greater returns from SVXY when compared to individual stocks, in this next moth?

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    1. SVXY is low enough to be interesting. I expect it'll perform well next week.

      On the chart I have SVXY lower low March 13th.

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  6. Trump is holding a news conference about Corona tonight 6 PM.

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  7. TVIX tried to get a new high today and couldn't do it. Tomorrow may be different.

    While I'm sure Trump will try to calm fears, holding a press conference will raise awareness for Coronavirus.

    I think TVIX may see fresh high tomorrow around $85. If it settles to $70 or under by the close I'm going long.

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  8. Trump did a good job. Futures are down. I think we'll see bottom tomorrow

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  9. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j_7VXF2GErg&feature=em-uploademail

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  10. gap at 2205 is going to get taken out, if MM's want cheap shares and rotate out of cyclical stocks tied to longer term virus and supply chain issues, this is the time they would like to do it, so the gap at 3090 could be in play....then off to 3450 again for elections....

    well well, here we are at 3083,3044 pretty solid support but a scare the children to 2940 should not be discounted....huge rotation going on..

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    1. Cute the fate of the sheeple:) this is just the beginning much lower until June for 4 year cycle low.

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    2. You make it sound like it's gonna go straight down it's not going to go straight down

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    3. The uvxy puts I had are now now 10x the price I sold them at when we just started this dip...

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    4. 2940 in after hours, the shock and awe is almost over, the weeklies seem to be the instrument used to take this down by the big boys....they did it fast and had the excuse, lets see who they want to be potus now....Wednesday could be bottom..

      U see Louis I agree with ya, GS built this trade up over last month along with the rest of the squid....then unleashed the kracken with news, FDA, CDC pandemic....

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  11. I believe that you're rip your face off rally will be coming

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  12. Every fucken time UV XY goes up 2 bucks I'll short 10000 shares

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  13. The big bazookas a common out just watch

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  14. short covering is expected today in my opinion

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  15. Golman sachs bunch of assholes they have a 2900 target only them

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  16. people wake up there making people panick there skum

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  17. i believe we see 320 atleast on spy real soon

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  18. Lois, look at the chart called
    CBOE Options Equity Put/Call Ratio (EOD) ($CPCE)
    Bottom unlikely at this point, more so a short covering rally, but you are right, nothing goed in a straight line
    https://stockcharts.com/public/3421479

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  19. 200dma on VXX https://imgur.com/a/ehgFH3l

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  20. SC - are you planning on buying SVXY tmr for the rally next week?

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  21. Is it time to re-evaluate svxy future patterns and timing? This (around 53) currently looks like a good entry. Thoughts?

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  22. SC - How much do you expect SVXY/SPX to rally next week? Back to 3225?

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  23. In 2011 a big move for TVIX stopped at $110.

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  24. Close to $110 expect a deep correction for TVIX. Then there will be a second leg higher.

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  25. VXO is attracted to the trendline at 65. It was indeed attracted with magnetic force. It will find a way to get there in March.

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  26. SVXY looks interesting for a one week pop. $56 target. Second leg lower afterwards.

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  27. For SPX this wasn't a big move, but it was fast!

    The higher this market gets the faster it drops.

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  28. SPX fell straight to the pink line. Reversion to the mean.

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  29. Sc 2nd leg. Lower in marc . Or later and how low. I want to transfer my ira funda

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  30. TVIX fills today's gap today.

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  31. I expect this selloff to end on Monday.

    When people look at their accounts and see that their hard earned savings have vanished into thin air they may throw the baby out with the bathwater come Monday.

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  32. And what about the Fed?

    The mandate of the Fed is supposed to provide price stability. I know I'm a little old fashioned, but is this what they call "stability" in today's world?

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    1. "St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said he would consider additional rate cuts but only if the coronavirus turns into a pandemic or spreads on scale with influenza."

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    2. Well I guess we need go lower then...

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  33. Let's see how it goes today, but Monday may be the day to enter SVXY.

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    1. Cup and handle forming on SVXY retesting under 50.

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    2. Bought around 52 on feb 27 EOD. AH activity feb 28 bringing it back to 52.. lets see if it holds...

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  34. VXO daily making golden cross today.

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    1. VXO has crazy gaps. This one at 42 should fill soon.

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  35. damn i think we missed a run up of a lifetime on vix... got out way too soon... waited years for this moment and missed it...

    ah well

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    Replies
    1. Tell me about it sickening I had 10000 shares sold in 4os

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  36. I hear you! It's okay though. Volatility is just beginning.

    The first move in a series is always the toughest to catch. The next moves will fall into place much easier now.

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  37. Sc can u give a road map for the year so we understand what is in store

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  38. Sc what's your target uvxy and tvix
    For the next 2 weeks I'm thinking 15 uvxy and 60 tvix what's your thought

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