LABU has been rising and a breakout is likely. The daily made a small dip, and golden cross is imminent. In February it tried; now it is ready to run. The weekly is also at an important level as shown in the charts. Daily and Weekly
Compare this to SPX weekly. SPX last year didn't get extremely oversold and now it's overbought once again. SPX is basically still trading at its highs!!!
LABU -- pretty ugly reversal on that golden cross prediction. On the other hand, the Daily RSI 5 is getting very oversold, so a bounce to test the broken trendline may happen soon. Too soon to tell if it will run higher than that, but maybe we get another 'surprise' rally into the 4 July holiday based on Wednesday's Brandenomics speech and bank 'stressed out' test results.
it was a breakout that broke down, higher rates from Powell doomed Biotech again....its in the shorts sites and I think you will need huge wash out or republican party takeover.....Democrats seem to hate healthcare, I wonder if they short it...
What don't they hate (hey, let's block the sun to save the planet...)? LABU - potential inverted pennant forming on daily chart (or maybe a bear flag). If so, that wash out may lead to $4ish. VIX is low and SPX is high, so stay alert...and enjoy the sun while they still let you...
Maybe it's time for a new thread? LABU took the long, winding (and certainly-not-anticipated) road, but it's finally in the $4ish range. Both LABU and LADB are now at extreme RSI 5 levels. Also, based on $NYMO and put/call ratios, the market will likely bounce soon. Next week's GOP debate and Jackson Hole meeting will likely impact volatility... so 'Be Careful'...
LABU hits $4.36 -- bottom? Public post on Raj Times and Cycles (info only, not an endorsement) claims "The Master Cycle is dominant and predicts an 8/18-21L and then some volatility for some time." $NYMO daily chart indicates a bottom is near, GOP debate is 23 Aug, and Jackson Hole is 24-26 Aug. IWM has a big gap to fill at $176ish. So, if 21 Aug is a big hairy scary down day, then... well, you know what to do.
uvxy $24? Maybe, but based on your recent track record, you may consider holding off on that bet for a bit. Based on daily charts, $SPX is more likely to close the gap above 4550 first...just to make it painful for bears and to set a trap for bulls.
Based on Keystone Speculator's 80/20 rule of thumb (info only, not an endorsement)... the SP500 will likely rise to at least 4520 (or higher) since today SP500 crossed above 4480. Also, markets tend to rally into holiday weekends, and in this case it's Labor Day... so, 'Be Careful' but watch for a potential gap fill...
4521...not a bad way to start the day! Pretzel Logic (info only, not an endorsement) suggests 4539 - 4575 range could potentially follow soon. Either way, $24 uvxy may take a while, so 'Be Careful'...
Up. It's going Up as mentioned previously...hopefully nobody got trapped in uvxy silliness. Sold all my LABU today -- yes, THAT was a REALLY GOOD run...and no need to be greedy going into a long holiday weekend. Moving forward, keep an eye on $NYMO and put/calls -- buy and sell at the extremes. And always -- Repent, Have Faith, and Obey -- God Bless!
BOIL is bad news...as is uvxy...both are highly unpredictable and pure gambles. While you anxiously await SC's update, Pretzel Logic and Keystone Speculator offer more frequent insights (info only, not endorsements). As you ponder your next move, please consider investing in the gift of grace...it's not an easy trade, but the return on investment is eternal life. While life is very short, eternal peace is available risk free...Repent, Have Faith, and Obey. Jesus saves lives...read the Bible.
With the 50 day average pressing up LABU should pop to around $10 soon and with the golden cross about $15 target.
ReplyDeleteAnother reason I post this weekly chart is that we can see biotech is coming off very oversold levels. There's good value.
ReplyDeleteCompare this to SPX weekly. SPX last year didn't get extremely oversold and now it's overbought once again. SPX is basically still trading at its highs!!!
ReplyDeleteSC .. whats the low of the spx you see this summer?
ReplyDelete3500?
No point looking at downside yet. SPX can inch higher as we await a turning point.
DeleteLABU seems follow the trend of SPX, if SPX trends down, not sure LABU will be up against the SPX trend?
ReplyDeleteSPX is trending up for now but it's pretty feeble. LABU can outperform in this uptrend.
DeleteIn Naples it is called the 3 cards game ....
ReplyDeleteGiving completely different directions means that somewhere you are right ....
Any thoughts on BOIL? Nat Gas?
ReplyDeleteI'll take a look at it.
DeleteEven though markets went down like a sub this week, the charts don't look too bad.
ReplyDeleteLABU -- pretty ugly reversal on that golden cross prediction. On the other hand, the Daily RSI 5 is getting very oversold, so a bounce to test the broken trendline may happen soon. Too soon to tell if it will run higher than that, but maybe we get another 'surprise' rally into the 4 July holiday based on Wednesday's Brandenomics speech and bank 'stressed out' test results.
ReplyDeleteit was a breakout that broke down, higher rates from Powell doomed Biotech again....its in the shorts sites and I think you will need huge wash out or republican party takeover.....Democrats seem to hate healthcare, I wonder if they short it...
DeleteWhat don't they hate (hey, let's block the sun to save the planet...)? LABU - potential inverted pennant forming on daily chart (or maybe a bear flag). If so, that wash out may lead to $4ish. VIX is low and SPX is high, so stay alert...and enjoy the sun while they still let you...
Deleteits beginning, big boys are front running coming sell off
DeleteOr... LABU will simply do whatever it wants whenever it wants... pattern or no pattern.
DeleteSC.. when do you expect the markets to turn south? You had said we top out in June ....
ReplyDeleteThank you
The markets do look ugly and I'm expecting the downturn to commence this month. A chart is coming which shows this clearly.
DeleteSC when will you post this chart?
Deletethanks
Looks like we'll be ready in a week or two
Deletethe next 3 weeks on SPY are statistically the worst 3 weeks of the year.....since inception of SPY
ReplyDeleteWeek dollar, strong index
ReplyDeleteSC when will you post the SPX chart and where we are headed to?
ReplyDeleteThanks
Yes I'm looking at it
DeleteNo signs of weakness, algo's wants new highs, let's see what tech earnings bring?
ReplyDeleteSo much for statistics. Maybe the next 3 weeks will be a little different.
ReplyDeleteAs some of you may recall Netflix was my tech pick. Now 200% off it's lows.
ReplyDeleteSC ... do we tag or take out 2022 lows this year on the SPX?
ReplyDeleteThanks
This year SPX rally still may extend. Retest next year.
DeleteThe recession is getting closer. Europe is basically in recession now. US will follow.
DeleteDWAC surged 100% Friday. Now settling back...
ReplyDelete"This year SPX rally still may extend. Retest next year."
ReplyDeleteSc i thought you said we are about to top.out and head much lower in the summer ?
As in july
Makes sense--but I want a reversal to go short
ReplyDeleteSure enough there's the selling. SPX can see 4,400
ReplyDeleteSC... when will you put the spx chart ?
ReplyDeletethanks
SPX formed the high we anticipated in July and is declining. However this likely is a false start.
DeleteAs the recession approaches we can see signs of complacency building. People don't think it will happen even though it is inevitable.
DeleteUVXY having a good pop. It's performed well since June with several jumps. It's at the 50 day now though.
ReplyDeletewe is the blow off top?
ReplyDeletewhere is the blow off top?
ReplyDeleteSc is vix 180 happening next year??
ReplyDeleteAfter the Election. The biggest volatility is ahead.
DeleteSPX 4,400.
ReplyDeleteSCAugust 2, 2023 at 10:45 AM
"Sure enough there's the selling. SPX can see 4,400"
This comment has been removed by the author.
DeleteDo you see a test of the 200 dma?
ReplyDeleteMaybe it's time for a new thread? LABU took the long, winding (and certainly-not-anticipated) road, but it's finally in the $4ish range. Both LABU and LADB are now at extreme RSI 5 levels. Also, based on $NYMO and put/call ratios, the market will likely bounce soon. Next week's GOP debate and Jackson Hole meeting will likely impact volatility... so 'Be Careful'...
ReplyDeleteLABU hits $4.36 -- bottom? Public post on Raj Times and Cycles (info only, not an endorsement) claims "The Master Cycle is dominant and predicts an 8/18-21L and then some volatility for some time." $NYMO daily chart indicates a bottom is near, GOP debate is 23 Aug, and Jackson Hole is 24-26 Aug. IWM has a big gap to fill at $176ish. So, if 21 Aug is a big hairy scary down day, then... well, you know what to do.
ReplyDeleteI have volatility in play UVXY target of 23-4, DRV printing 78
ReplyDeleteUVXY looks tricky at this point. What's your timeline?
Deleteuvxy $24? Maybe, but based on your recent track record, you may consider holding off on that bet for a bit. Based on daily charts, $SPX is more likely to close the gap above 4550 first...just to make it painful for bears and to set a trap for bulls.
ReplyDeleteBased on Keystone Speculator's 80/20 rule of thumb (info only, not an endorsement)... the SP500 will likely rise to at least 4520 (or higher) since today SP500 crossed above 4480. Also, markets tend to rally into holiday weekends, and in this case it's Labor Day... so, 'Be Careful' but watch for a potential gap fill...
ReplyDelete4521...not a bad way to start the day! Pretzel Logic (info only, not an endorsement) suggests 4539 - 4575 range could potentially follow soon. Either way, $24 uvxy may take a while, so 'Be Careful'...
ReplyDeleteSC... any news or any updated charts on where SPX is going??
ReplyDeleteThank you
Up. It's going Up as mentioned previously...hopefully nobody got trapped in uvxy silliness. Sold all my LABU today -- yes, THAT was a REALLY GOOD run...and no need to be greedy going into a long holiday weekend. Moving forward, keep an eye on $NYMO and put/calls -- buy and sell at the extremes. And always -- Repent, Have Faith, and Obey -- God Bless!
ReplyDeleteDo you have any thoughts on BOIL?
DeleteSummer is over. Let's see if the market will get more active. I'm reviewing charts and will update.
ReplyDeleteBOIL is bad news...as is uvxy...both are highly unpredictable and pure gambles. While you anxiously await SC's update, Pretzel Logic and Keystone Speculator offer more frequent insights (info only, not endorsements). As you ponder your next move, please consider investing in the gift of grace...it's not an easy trade, but the return on investment is eternal life. While life is very short, eternal peace is available risk free...Repent, Have Faith, and Obey. Jesus saves lives...read the Bible.
ReplyDeleteNew chart posted!
ReplyDelete