VIX appears to be warming up, however notice there is some resistance overhead. VIX probably will have some difficulty here, but eventually may be able to pop after a few tries at this resistance.
Daily
Good stuff, thanks SC! Let's see if VIX is able to maintain higher low or db if SPX moves higher. VIX closed pre-covid gap, which is a tick. Expect volatility to rise again in May. Oil looks to be putting short term bottom today after reaction of 64 level and 16th CIT date. May onwards shall be money making machine with a lot of setups forming up and good swings
We did see a Hindenburg Omen triggered with the signal valid July 4th.
"We got a first Hindenburg Omen observation on Tuesday, March 2nd, 2021, and a second official confirming Hindenburg Omen observation two days later, on Thursday, March 4th, 2021, meaning we are now on the clock watching for a stock market crash, and at the very least a significant decline. What such a signal is telling us is that there is a much higher-than-random probability of a stock market crash starting sometime over the next four months."
You are welcome! Haha I've been trading in and out of it. Had some calls. Could have been more aggressive with it for sure though. Vaccine money! Enjoy!!
I wonder whether anyone is looking at Nat Gas (BOIL). Since oil went up high, next turn might be nat gas. And it usually up over the summer. What do you think?
I don't think anything big is happening yet, VIX at least warming up. That's a start.
ReplyDeleteBitcoin floundering after the stimulus, but may get interesting again later as a play on "infrastructure".
ReplyDeleteGUSH seems to be under some pressure from general malaise in the market. SPX down. Oil is actually holding quite well and looking solid.
ReplyDeleteSee that. VIX 20 resistance tough nut to crack.
ReplyDeletehttps://www.valuetrend.ca/how-low-can-it-go-4/
ReplyDeletesc,
ReplyDeleteso basically--if the VIX closes three days above 20--we got a mover--could be thirty or forty
correct?
bro what are you smoking?
DeleteMaybe UVXY establishing a range $4.50 to $5. Nothing major yet
DeleteGood stuff, thanks SC! Let's see if VIX is able to maintain higher low or db if SPX moves higher. VIX closed pre-covid gap, which is a tick. Expect volatility to rise again in May. Oil looks to be putting short term bottom today after reaction of 64 level and 16th CIT date. May onwards shall be money making machine with a lot of setups forming up and good swings
ReplyDeleteQuite sure it will be a fun summer!
Deletethank you!
ReplyDeleteWe did see a Hindenburg Omen triggered with the signal valid July 4th.
ReplyDelete"We got a first Hindenburg Omen observation on Tuesday, March 2nd, 2021, and a second official confirming Hindenburg Omen observation two days later, on Thursday, March 4th, 2021, meaning we are now on the clock watching for a stock market crash, and at the very least a significant decline. What such a signal is telling us is that there is a much higher-than-random probability of a stock market crash starting sometime over the next four months."
That is good to know!
ReplyDeletesc,
ReplyDeleteJust to confirm---you are looking for a Turn down into July5, 2021
correct?
isnt that your bday tommy
DeleteWe'll see. It's early. We have a window to work with coming.
Deletethanks lou!
ReplyDeleteSC, the vix break the limit, 20, and we see it from the down, 20 it's resistance
ReplyDeleteVIX was rejected at the resistance for now
Delete"Ocugen shares rise 16% after partner discloses vaccine efficacy of 100% in severe COVID-19"
ReplyDeleteBought OCGN $6.65.
ReplyDeleteOCGN started to firm up yesterday on the news. It looks to be moving towards $8.50.
ReplyDeleteSold OCGN $7.50.
ReplyDeleteBought UVXY $4.80.
ReplyDeleteYes!
DeleteSCApril 21, 2021 at 10:37 AM
"Maybe UVXY establishing a range $4.50 to $5. Nothing major yet"
sc,
ReplyDeletewhat are you looking for 8 bucks?
SC, what the destination of uvxy?
ReplyDeleteIt's just for short time?
ReplyDeleteYes next week
DeleteSc,
ReplyDeleteYou bought UVXY at 4.80---I am guessing you looking above six bucks-
OCGN ---now at $10 bucks--sold before earnings ---that was smart-did not want to gamble!
I am just looking for a little clarity
VIX found resistance at 20 again as expected but it should pop higher 23
DeleteWhat price do you think UVXY will hit if the VIX pops to 23? Could UVXY go as high as $7.00?
DeleteI'll take a closer look at the pricing. VIX should heat up next week.
DeleteDoes anyone have 28th of April as CIT date?
DeleteThe OCGN was hot trade yesterday. Vaccine money poured in.
ReplyDeleteCongratulations! Thanks a lot for bringing this to attention.
DeleteYou are welcome! Haha I've been trading in and out of it. Had some calls. Could have been more aggressive with it for sure though. Vaccine money! Enjoy!!
Delete"Yet another VXX reverse split" $40.81
ReplyDeleteSC ... what is your thoughts on Gold?
ReplyDeleteBearish Gold into the Fall
DeleteSounds good. In my work gold is posed to put intermediate top in May with several weeks of sideways-lower projection.
DeleteThanks Alex!
Deletesc,
ReplyDeleteUvxy at 4.45----I am guessing you are looking for $6 or better?
VIX 23. Waiting for UVXY to confirm this low then we can look at pricing.
Deletesc,
ReplyDeleteLooks like the VIX is stuck between 17 and 20 no volatility yet?
VIX is relatively quiet, VIX up yesterday and today though. Month end coming. Might have to wait for that
Deletesc,
ReplyDeleteHoping you are right---May should be very volatile?
looks like uvxy gonna spliy may 6th 10 for 1 reverse
ReplyDeleteSo looking for $60-80 uvxy instead of $6-8?
ReplyDeleteThat makes sense!
ReplyDeleteVIX looking good! Starting to pop!!
ReplyDelete$8 UVXY would be nice....hope VIX pops sooner than later!
ReplyDeleteNew chart posted!
ReplyDeleteI wonder whether anyone is looking at Nat Gas (BOIL). Since oil went up high, next turn might be nat gas. And it usually up over the summer. What do you think?
ReplyDelete