Oil shares have declined and that decline appears to be finishing. Crude is holding better today and that is a sign that the Oil sector is ready for a bounce. Daily
We are here on earth to pay it forward and help people anybody have any good stocks I would appreciate u share Anybody know etm I hear 20 plus Play a t your own risk Fll is another I'm looking at
SC, could you perhaps give us some idea of the timing of all of this? When will the S&P 500 collapse in price and when will the VIX and UVXY start to move up?
It feels endless with the never ending bullishness of the market. The DOW and the S&P 500 are ike the Energizer bunny on steroids. They just keep going.....and going......and going.....and going.......
At least the Nasdaq seems to have peaked. It's a little reminiscent of the year 2000. The Dow peaked in Jan, the S&P 500 peaked in Feb and the Nasdaq peaked last in early March 2000 and then the stock market fell.
For Volatility there is a very specific plan. Certain events have to take place to set up.
Hahaha I know it. Yes it does feel endless, however it will come to an end. That is where the Cycle becomes valuable in the timing.
Even now $5 trillion has hardly budged this market. We saw a $20 Billion margin call last week in an up market. So you can imagine how quickly it will unravel in a down market. Without mentioning names the blows ups will become much larger.
The Oil trading strategy is something just to pass the time while we wait. Believe me I have bigger fish to fry.
we have time before the volatility shows up---and the facts that you stated are true-- 5-trillion--very little movement--20 billion margin call --no results --it will have to be something much bigger--to top this market and turn the Market down--please keep us --up to date?
SC, what do you think about the percentage of stocks above the 150 day average? Getting very high don't you think? https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPXA150R
Everyone is wondering--the areas that you are looking for on the VIX--you should give them an area or tell them --it is up to the market--or ---you are waiting for certain events to cause a drop in the market--theses events are tied to the reopening of the economy--no-one-- knows when this will happen--and you guessing that there will be a problem with the re-opening. UVXY--will probably do a reverse split before a major move---I have a position between 5 to 7 and I am willing to wait for it to go higher. The vaccinations are doing well---I doubt the VIX will get down to 11 or 12--that means SPX will be above 5000 and the bond market will be destroyed ---negative yields!
OPEC wacked down Crude today. It'll probably bounce back a bit, but we are expecting a low first half of April. So we are looking for a high and decline next.
How about a rally into April Fools Day? April 1st!
ReplyDeleteGreat call on drip!
ReplyDeleteThank you!
You are most welcome!
DeleteBought more tqqq at 82.73
ReplyDeleteWow took a crazy gamble calls 387 March 26 calls viva Las Vegas lol
ReplyDeleteBought svra 159
ReplyDeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeletewow... news just hit they think an iranian missile hit an israeli vessel in the arabian sea...
ReplyDeletetiming conincides with gush move up....
Yup Israel gonna bomb their asses
DeleteIran is not iraq or afghanistan... israel would get decimated without US backing in my opinion...
DeleteAnd Iranian middle hit their own vessel.
ReplyDeleteMissle
ReplyDeleteWhen it rains it gushes lol
ReplyDeleteIranian missile and ship blocking Suez Canal.
DeleteDid you buy gush?
DeleteYes I did trade GUSH in and out 4 times today with good profit, but it's still in a bottoming profile.
DeleteThere's still time to look for a swing entry.
Sold spx calls bought.1 dollar sold at 2 sold
ReplyDeleteNice Louis!
Deleteamc running again
ReplyDeleteYes it is
Deleteupst
ReplyDeletesc,
ReplyDeleteVIX ---looks low ---is it a buy yet?
Something is strange with this market that's sPX up, Dow Jones up and NASDAQ is lagging. Not making much sense.
ReplyDeleteMy thinking is Nasdaq has started its first innings of its bear market...
DeleteIts the leading index so eventually the other indices will join once they top out...
Let's go giddy up
ReplyDeleteVix in the 18s now....
ReplyDeleteUVXY still not oversold either on daily or weekly.
ReplyDeletelet see if oil roadmap correlates with stock indices. I think this bottom finding bear porn is not finished yet
ReplyDeleteBy the way forgot to tell you I sold tqqq
ReplyDeletelou,
ReplyDeletenice move on TQQQ---moonshot at the end of the day!
Did you have your moon boots on?
sc,
ReplyDeletethe Vix is in the 18's--are you expecting the 16 and 17--please advise?
Invu yea buddy
DeleteNice run. I sold half. Letting the rest ride to $1 ;)
DeleteSold all. On to the next one
DeleteLouie,
ReplyDeleteNice move!
Bought GUSH $68.75.
ReplyDeleteWhat is your target to get out at SC?
DeleteAround $80
Deletesc,
ReplyDeletethe Vix is in the 18's--are you expecting the 16 and 17--please advise?
VIX still hasn't quite hit 18 but it should soon.
DeleteHas oil bottomed?
ReplyDeleteThere's still another weak spot early April.
DeleteOn Twitter I had stated that the market's next problem would come from China...
ReplyDeleteNow we see a Chinese fund has blown up. Banks got caught with margin calls.
ReplyDeleteInvu oh yea
ReplyDeleteSold invu
ReplyDelete500% since you mentioned it at 9 cents. Amazing
DeleteWe are here on earth to pay it forward and help people anybody have any good stocks I would appreciate u share
DeleteAnybody know etm I hear 20 plus
Play a t your own risk
Fll is another I'm looking at
lou,
ReplyDeleteNice trade!
Svra is getting active insiders buying
ReplyDeleteSome OTC plays, ATVK, COUV, CBBT
ReplyDeleteBought RIG $3.39.
ReplyDeleteTarget $4.50.
Deletesc,
ReplyDeleteHere comes the VIX capitulation-----how long does this last---2 or 3 weeks?
Svra on the move
ReplyDeletesc,
ReplyDeleteHere comes the VIX capitulation-----how long does this last---2 or 3 weeks?
Once VIX bottoms it'll bounce a few times before it runs. It's going to take time.
DeleteSC ... do you plan to hold GUSH through begining of APRIL's move downwards?
ReplyDeleteYes, first week of April looks good, after that is negative.
DeleteIt was 3,853 and here we are approaching SPX 4,000.
ReplyDeleteSCMarch 22, 2021 at 9:26 AM
"SPX is choppy. It could test the 50 dma around 3,850 but yes it'll get a new high also."
Interesting to see what you think SC
ReplyDeletehttps://www.valuetrend.ca/indices-should-start-to-roll-over-by-early-may/
I do think we are moving towards a top. The market likely has a few tricks to play first, but yes we are getting there.
Deletesc,
ReplyDeleteIt takes time to bottom--I Understand that---normally 30 -60-90 Days ???
sc,
ReplyDeleteI am guessing this capitulation ---will take most April and May----we may see Volatility in June and July!
A plan is in place for a very large volatility trade this year. Probably the largest trade of the year.
ReplyDeleteWell this sounds great! The vix gap is filling just like you said it would. I might be a little early to the party, buying uvxy at $7.
ReplyDeleteSC, could you perhaps give us some idea of the timing of all of this? When will the S&P 500 collapse in price and when will the VIX and UVXY start to move up?
ReplyDeleteIt feels endless with the never ending bullishness of the market. The DOW and the S&P 500 are ike the Energizer bunny on steroids. They just keep going.....and going......and going.....and going.......
At least the Nasdaq seems to have peaked. It's a little reminiscent of the year 2000. The Dow peaked in Jan, the S&P 500 peaked in Feb and the Nasdaq peaked last in early March 2000 and then the stock market fell.
For Volatility there is a very specific plan. Certain events have to take place to set up.
DeleteHahaha I know it. Yes it does feel endless, however it will come to an end. That is where the Cycle becomes valuable in the timing.
Even now $5 trillion has hardly budged this market. We saw a $20 Billion margin call last week in an up market. So you can imagine how quickly it will unravel in a down market. Without mentioning names the blows ups will become much larger.
The Oil trading strategy is something just to pass the time while we wait. Believe me I have bigger fish to fry.
May in particular is vaccine month. I have plan for that. I think will be spectacular...
ReplyDeleteSvra a little beast
ReplyDelete50% in 2 days. Wow
DeleteSC the vix break the 20 support
ReplyDeleteVldr is a good company
ReplyDeleteAnd the 200 weekly average
ReplyDeleteSPX 4,000!!! Bring out the April Fools party hats!
ReplyDeleteSCMarch 25, 2021 at 7:37 AM
"How about a rally into April Fools Day? April 1st!"
Congratulations on your calls! You've been on point! When do you anticipate vix capitulation? Is this it? How low do you see it going? Back to 10-11?
ReplyDeleteTo truly capitulate the VIX we would need more of a splash than this.
DeleteWe have a few more Cycles to go.
SC.. are you out of gush yet or still waiting?
ReplyDeleteSPX looks toppy here at least short term
Not yet
Deletesc,
ReplyDeletewe have time before the volatility shows up---and the facts that you stated are true-- 5-trillion--very little movement--20 billion margin call --no results --it will have to be something much bigger--to top this market and turn the Market down--please keep us --up to date?
You see people are oblivious to the risk. They don't even see it even though it is staring them in the face.
Deletesc,
ReplyDeleteI am guessing that you are speaking of a CREDIT RISK?
Worse
DeleteBond market collapse?
DeleteGUSH cleaning house! Woooooo
ReplyDeleteGood job👏
DeleteSC, The dollar is getting stronger against the euro, where do you see it for next weeks? 1.13 maybe?
ReplyDeletesc,
ReplyDeletewhat could be worse than a credit or Bond Market collapse???
War?
Happy April Fools! HAHAHAHA
ReplyDeletehttps://youtu.be/u-bWIkGa0QA
Sc can you explain how you come up with turn dates etc ?
ReplyDeleteWhat methodology do you use for time ?
Yes, in this case using a version of the Presidential Cycle posted on December 10th.
DeleteSC, what do you think about the percentage of stocks above the 150 day average? Getting very high don't you think?
ReplyDeletehttps://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPXA150R
Great chart! I like that, thank you!
DeleteNotice how it got oversold in March.
Yes I do agree it's pricey, but actually even on this chart not yet overbought. We're getting there. We would want to be getting more cautious.
Let's keep an eye on this.
The vix break the last year support, that say we didn't see the top
ReplyDeleteHad a look and showing up 1,370% since February 2020.
ReplyDelete😃
DeleteSC, dont you think the vix is going to 11?
ReplyDelete11 to 12, the next support?
ReplyDeletesc,
ReplyDeleteEveryone is wondering--the areas that you are looking for on the VIX--you should give them an area or tell them --it is up to the market--or ---you are waiting for certain events to cause a drop in the market--theses events are tied to the reopening of the economy--no-one-- knows when this will happen--and you guessing that there will be a problem with the re-opening. UVXY--will probably do a reverse split before a major move---I have a position between 5 to 7 and I am willing to wait for it to go higher. The vaccinations are doing well---I doubt the VIX will get down to 11 or 12--that means SPX will be above 5000 and the bond market will be destroyed ---negative yields!
Hey tommy u taking vaccine i mean the gene therapy
ReplyDeletehttps://www.hotzehwc.com/2021/02/dr-hotze-on-the-dangers-of-the-covid-19-vaccine/
ReplyDeleteBought eeenf
ReplyDeleteBought between 7 and 8 cents👉❗👈
ReplyDeleteRisk capital only
ReplyDeletehttps://microcapdaily.com/88-energy-ltd-otcmkts-eeenf-drilling-the-merlin-1-harrier-1-oil-in-the-world-class-alaska-north-slope/131507/
ReplyDeleteSC,
ReplyDeleteIs it time to buy or sell rig?
OPEC wacked down Crude today. It'll probably bounce back a bit, but we are expecting a low first half of April. So we are looking for a high and decline next.
DeleteNew chart posted!
ReplyDelete