Finding the edge in analyzing unique market Cycles.
How about a rally into April Fools Day? April 1st!
Great call on drip! Thank you!
You are most welcome!
Bought more tqqq at 82.73
Wow took a crazy gamble calls 387 March 26 calls viva Las Vegas lol
Bought svra 159
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wow... news just hit they think an iranian missile hit an israeli vessel in the arabian sea...timing conincides with gush move up....
Yup Israel gonna bomb their asses
Iran is not iraq or afghanistan... israel would get decimated without US backing in my opinion...
And Iranian middle hit their own vessel.
When it rains it gushes lol
Iranian missile and ship blocking Suez Canal.
Did you buy gush?
Yes I did trade GUSH in and out 4 times today with good profit, but it's still in a bottoming profile.There's still time to look for a swing entry.
Sold spx calls bought.1 dollar sold at 2 sold
amc running again
Yes it is
sc,VIX ---looks low ---is it a buy yet?
Something is strange with this market that's sPX up, Dow Jones up and NASDAQ is lagging. Not making much sense.
My thinking is Nasdaq has started its first innings of its bear market...Its the leading index so eventually the other indices will join once they top out...
Let's go giddy up
Vix in the 18s now....
UVXY still not oversold either on daily or weekly.
let see if oil roadmap correlates with stock indices. I think this bottom finding bear porn is not finished yet
By the way forgot to tell you I sold tqqq
lou,nice move on TQQQ---moonshot at the end of the day!Did you have your moon boots on?
sc,the Vix is in the 18's--are you expecting the 16 and 17--please advise?
Invu yea buddy
Nice run. I sold half. Letting the rest ride to $1 ;)
Sold all. On to the next one
Bought GUSH $68.75.
What is your target to get out at SC?
VIX still hasn't quite hit 18 but it should soon.
Has oil bottomed?
There's still another weak spot early April.
On Twitter I had stated that the market's next problem would come from China...
Now we see a Chinese fund has blown up. Banks got caught with margin calls.
Invu oh yea
500% since you mentioned it at 9 cents. Amazing
We are here on earth to pay it forward and help people anybody have any good stocks I would appreciate u share Anybody know etm I hear 20 plus Play a t your own riskFll is another I'm looking at
Svra is getting active insiders buying
Some OTC plays, ATVK, COUV, CBBT
Bought RIG $3.39.
sc,Here comes the VIX capitulation-----how long does this last---2 or 3 weeks?
Svra on the move
sc,Here comes the VIX capitulation-----how long does this last---2 or 3 weeks?
Once VIX bottoms it'll bounce a few times before it runs. It's going to take time.
SC ... do you plan to hold GUSH through begining of APRIL's move downwards?
Yes, first week of April looks good, after that is negative.
It was 3,853 and here we are approaching SPX 4,000.SCMarch 22, 2021 at 9:26 AM"SPX is choppy. It could test the 50 dma around 3,850 but yes it'll get a new high also."
Interesting to see what you think SChttps://www.valuetrend.ca/indices-should-start-to-roll-over-by-early-may/
I do think we are moving towards a top. The market likely has a few tricks to play first, but yes we are getting there.
sc,It takes time to bottom--I Understand that---normally 30 -60-90 Days ???
sc,I am guessing this capitulation ---will take most April and May----we may see Volatility in June and July!
A plan is in place for a very large volatility trade this year. Probably the largest trade of the year.
Well this sounds great! The vix gap is filling just like you said it would. I might be a little early to the party, buying uvxy at $7.
SC, could you perhaps give us some idea of the timing of all of this? When will the S&P 500 collapse in price and when will the VIX and UVXY start to move up?It feels endless with the never ending bullishness of the market. The DOW and the S&P 500 are ike the Energizer bunny on steroids. They just keep going.....and going......and going.....and going.......At least the Nasdaq seems to have peaked. It's a little reminiscent of the year 2000. The Dow peaked in Jan, the S&P 500 peaked in Feb and the Nasdaq peaked last in early March 2000 and then the stock market fell.
For Volatility there is a very specific plan. Certain events have to take place to set up.Hahaha I know it. Yes it does feel endless, however it will come to an end. That is where the Cycle becomes valuable in the timing. Even now $5 trillion has hardly budged this market. We saw a $20 Billion margin call last week in an up market. So you can imagine how quickly it will unravel in a down market. Without mentioning names the blows ups will become much larger. The Oil trading strategy is something just to pass the time while we wait. Believe me I have bigger fish to fry.
May in particular is vaccine month. I have plan for that. I think will be spectacular...
Svra a little beast
50% in 2 days. Wow
SC the vix break the 20 support
Vldr is a good company
And the 200 weekly average
SPX 4,000!!! Bring out the April Fools party hats!SCMarch 25, 2021 at 7:37 AM"How about a rally into April Fools Day? April 1st!"
Congratulations on your calls! You've been on point! When do you anticipate vix capitulation? Is this it? How low do you see it going? Back to 10-11?
To truly capitulate the VIX we would need more of a splash than this. We have a few more Cycles to go.
SC.. are you out of gush yet or still waiting?SPX looks toppy here at least short term
sc,we have time before the volatility shows up---and the facts that you stated are true-- 5-trillion--very little movement--20 billion margin call --no results --it will have to be something much bigger--to top this market and turn the Market down--please keep us --up to date?
You see people are oblivious to the risk. They don't even see it even though it is staring them in the face.
sc,I am guessing that you are speaking of a CREDIT RISK?
Bond market collapse?
GUSH cleaning house! Woooooo
SC, The dollar is getting stronger against the euro, where do you see it for next weeks? 1.13 maybe?
sc,what could be worse than a credit or Bond Market collapse???War?
Happy April Fools! HAHAHAHA https://youtu.be/u-bWIkGa0QA
Sc can you explain how you come up with turn dates etc ?What methodology do you use for time ?
Yes, in this case using a version of the Presidential Cycle posted on December 10th.
SC, what do you think about the percentage of stocks above the 150 day average? Getting very high don't you think?https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPXA150R
Great chart! I like that, thank you!Notice how it got oversold in March.Yes I do agree it's pricey, but actually even on this chart not yet overbought. We're getting there. We would want to be getting more cautious. Let's keep an eye on this.
The vix break the last year support, that say we didn't see the top
Had a look and showing up 1,370% since February 2020.
SC, dont you think the vix is going to 11?
11 to 12, the next support?
sc,Everyone is wondering--the areas that you are looking for on the VIX--you should give them an area or tell them --it is up to the market--or ---you are waiting for certain events to cause a drop in the market--theses events are tied to the reopening of the economy--no-one-- knows when this will happen--and you guessing that there will be a problem with the re-opening. UVXY--will probably do a reverse split before a major move---I have a position between 5 to 7 and I am willing to wait for it to go higher. The vaccinations are doing well---I doubt the VIX will get down to 11 or 12--that means SPX will be above 5000 and the bond market will be destroyed ---negative yields!
Hey tommy u taking vaccine i mean the gene therapy
Bought between 7 and 8 cents👉❗👈
Risk capital only
SC, Is it time to buy or sell rig?
OPEC wacked down Crude today. It'll probably bounce back a bit, but we are expecting a low first half of April. So we are looking for a high and decline next.
New chart posted!