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Friday, May 17, 2019

SVXY - Large Head and Shoulders Formation

SVXY continues to be extremely weak.  The rally failed at the timing predicted with the white lines.

A large head and shoulders pattern has formed.  After completing the head, SVXY bounced at the double support with neckline and middle support as shown.

The Right shoulder is underway...

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Before: April 12, 2019 analysis

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38 comments:

  1. Give the SVXY a little time here to finish the Right shoulder. The Left shoulder was choppy as well.

    I think the odds are quite good with this bearish pattern confirming.

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  2. UVXY could settle down a little more, but the target is around $55 so it already looks quite attractive.

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    Replies
    1. so we are looking for 30 uvxy to go long

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    2. UVXY could see the gap $31.50 to $33.60 tested or filled.

      Delete
  3. what are you saying we are gonna drop here?

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    Replies
    1. SPX probably rise a little more next on this bounce. It was due for a bounce. Yes it likely will see 2,900 and above, but there is a lot of downside.

      Best to focus on shorting, and spiking volatility. SVXY is very weak and fortelling of selloff ahead.

      Delete
  4. Charts coming for SPX also...

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  5. A little patience, excellent short setup developing here...

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  6. Replies
    1. Yes, very bearish etf.

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    2. we not looking for a rally to July High anymore

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    3. For 2019 July has always looked to be important timing. It's looking more likely a low. Sometimes it's hard to tell because the drops happens quickly and the high and low are close together.

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    4. SPX still 2710 target for the next low?

      Delete
  7. thx, when do you see it finish r shoulder?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The whole process could take a couple weeks, there will be chop, maybe a false start.

      Another thing to keep in mind, often the right shoulder takes less time than the left.

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    2. is this more about timing wise or price, if price is hit within few days do we still need to wait for 2 weeks?

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    3. It still looks like we are in the early stage of forming the shoulder. It should finish in June. We've already done close in price but not in time.

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  8. SVXY sinks, down three weeks in a row.

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    Replies
    1. SC, u get in UVXY already?

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    2. read too fast, thought u said down 3 weeks next

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  9. Might make it to 2783. But also look for 2932 sooner rather than later.

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  10. Replies
    1. guess $55 more like in June, how high u think by the 24th?

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    2. Yes that's my thinking as well. $48 next level to watch.

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  11. Lower low probable for SPX this week. Remember our model predicts a low this week by May 24th.

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  12. There it goes accelerating lower...

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    Replies
    1. I can'tt even tell you how big my short is cause its friggin huge

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    2. Were is acceleration must be a slow car

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  13. I think we need a little more evidence of a top here

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  14. SC, we need you to call another 1000 down day

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  15. VIX UVXY clearly lagging today

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  16. lets get another 1000 down day!

    ReplyDelete