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Friday, October 1, 2021

XBI - Biotech Low is Due

XBI has been forming a rectangular bottoming pattern and price is likely putting in a low. The Biotech sector is getting ready to turn up with a breakout next. Daily Chart

35 comments:

  1. I'm expecting Biotech to trend up for 1 year from this low. So this is an important turn for Biotech.

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  2. Bought XBI Janaury $140 Calls at $2.80.

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  3. The turns have been accurate and I have a model for XBI. Strength in Biotech is likely to provide lift to SPX.

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  4. GUSH is up pretty well 100% from August. Tremendous strength there in Oil as well.

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  5. My XBI Calls are up 20% just that fast lol

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  6. I'll look to take profit soon. I called the last high of XBI at $137. Right on the button. My feeling is XBI won't see lower than $120.

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  7. I had stepped aside of GUSH and took profits because I could see it going through a choppy phase next. We could adopt a more active trading strategy there. Oil is not ready to advance further but it won't see much weakness either.

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  8. Yes there is an Inflation burst coming that will shock the Hell out of people...

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  9. Replies
    1. inflation is going up or the market is going up in a burst?

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    2. Inflation gap up 25% overnight

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    3. you're saying market is going to gap up 25% over night?

      Waaat?

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    4. Inflation gap higher. Gasoline, food, etc...

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  10. sc,

    I don't see biotech --lifting the Spx to new highs --maybe in the short term --but that will require one hell of vaccine --distributed globally--I will pick up OCGN calls ---lets see what happens?

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    Replies
    1. Massive expenditure into Biotech. Comparison to a war. Markets often do well in a war because there is massive government expenditure into infrastructure. In this case into Biotech.

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    2. The WHO is reviewing Covaxin vaccine approval. There are some reports of delays. I'm deciding how I want to play OCGN

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    3. What is suspect though is we may need to let the current vaccination campaign finish before we get more serious about new vaccine candidates such as OCGN.

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  11. Hi, would you please explain adopt a more active trading strategy in ref. to gush. Are you no longer expecting a pull back? Congratulations on the call for XBI, awesome! Thank you

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    Replies
    1. GUSH up basically $10 dollar from yesterday's low. That's a good money trade. We should have done it. GUSH likely to trade $90 to $105 for a few months.

      I still do expect a pullback to $70 GUSH later in the year before it runs crazy.

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  12. Bought DRIP $5.38. Oil GUSH up again today strong. Frankly it looks a bit too much.

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  13. sc,

    too much wrong doing with our politicians and we are close to breaking new lows --too many problems out their?

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    Replies
    1. There is always wrong with politicians. That's why they are politicians.

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  14. sc,

    we cant buy options on drip???

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    Replies
    1. Could do. With the DRIP it's more of a counter trend trade though. Probably good for $10 looking out several months.

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  15. sc,

    Anything else looks good short term--at the end of the year---this still below SPX 3700---the damage is done!

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  16. sc,

    We are out of all upward support --Daily--Weekly and Monthly!

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  17. Oil strength yesterday was foretelling today's strength in SPX.

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  18. sc,

    We are still not out of the woods, there is gap in the SPX at 4430 too 4440 -should be filled if we are going to sell off or go higher------I am guessing that that is the line in the sand!

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    Replies
    1. Let's see but it seems September was a bad month but October may alternate as a good month.

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  19. sc,

    Early October we are consolidating at the bottom---once we get past the down--grade of US Debt --I am go long--Too early to tell that October will be a good Month--But I will keep it in mind!

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  20. sc,

    These politicians are just too childish to do the right think!

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