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Monday, May 24, 2021

$SPX - Double Bottom

An observation since November SPX has made V bottoms every time. The most recent bottom is a double, and that is a sign that the index is getting weaker. There's resistance overhead so if it rises it will be a slow grind. Daily

51 comments:

  1. While we are talking double bottoms every larger bottoming formation over the last year is a double bottom.

    The next time SPX forms a larger double bottom, short it. It'll plunge to the downside, volatility spike.

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  2. Replies
    1. The model shows a high middle of June but choppy. Good for day trading

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    2. Sounds good, thank you SC. I have 8th and 11/14th June as CIT dates, need to evaluate closer. Also looking forward to clear set-up in volatility trade. Short term we may have top in indexes/bottom in volatility tomorrow

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  3. For a signal to enter UVXY that is what we are waiting for...

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    1. Last pop was 50%, the next 100% or more UVXY. Waiting for that signal.

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    2. 100% uvxy from $4 or from $2?

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    3. UVXY consolidation this week. I'm not sure the numbers yet. Looking at a very specific setup.

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  4. Moderna - Third Dose...

    "We believe that our vaccine will be effective for a comparable period, except that the arrival of variants increases the threat level. This is why we must anticipate and vaccinate all people at risk with a third dose by the end of the summer, in particular the residents of nursing homes who received their first dose at the beginning of the year," Bancel told French newspaper Journal Du Dimanche.

    The CEO of the US drugmaker further suggested that in order to protect the "fragile unvaccinated people," all adults and adolescents must also receive a booster jab.

    Bancel warned that three or even two months of delay in vaccinations could lead to an increase in the number of hospitalizations and deaths, which could, in turn, lead to a fourth COVID-19 wave in France.

    Moderna is now testing three different booster strategies, he said. The first is against the original Wuhan strain, the second is against the South Africa strain and the third is a combination of both. The effectiveness of these three boosters is later on measured on the four variants deemed to be the most dangerous by the World Health Organization.

    The company is planning to launch a study on people near early June and aims to get approval from regulatory agencies by September."

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    1. mRNA Quack-cines are absolute garbage! Salk Institute just came out with a study April 30 that showed Spike proteins *without the virus* cause same damage as Cov19....now let’s hijack your mRNA and make your body it’s own spike protein factory churning out billions of these suckers with no OFF button. What can possibly go wrong?

      Dr Richard Fleming says humanized mice show prion damage within 2 weeks (aka 18-24 months in human years)....should be interesting next couple years.

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  5. They could take the vaccine and slam it up their asses lol

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  6. Biotech sector is selling off today despite market rally. XBI could have a bad week.

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  7. SPX hitting resistance. Settle back and maybe could pop early in June.

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  8. sc,

    some resistance--but I will wait to the end of the day!

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  9. Oil strong today but oil shares not budging. Interesting to watch

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  10. My opinion for the sp500 is the same as I said two months ago, we will see 3200-3400 in summer

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    Replies
    1. That would be nuts indeed

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    2. close the gaps from october

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    3. thanks Charles. funny how not long ago 3200 was above us, now it's way below. I'm looking for a drop that may turn out to be as large as the drop last year, but not clear on the timing. Maybe we get something in June or maybe not still September/October, or maybe a drop in both time periods. Good luck!

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  11. I own lazr from 16 I bought it big today something going on with this put it on your radar

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  12. AMC running hard out of the gates

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    Replies
    1. Observe that GME is down today though. Probably a good spot to take profits on AMC.

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  13. SC .. when do you expect the market to start heading south and what are your targets for when its heading south?

    Thanks

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  14. OCGN running on news submitting to FDA in June

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  15. What I'm expecting next for SPX is a selloff similar to September to November last year.

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  16. Are you expecting that sell off the start end of June into July

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  17. The difference this time is that the double bottoms that have become too obvious will fail leading to a larger selloff.

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  18. Timing the selloffs in June and another second in August. The bigger selling after that probably September October time frame.

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    Replies
    1. Is that going to coincide with vaccine failures this fall? Vax failure the catalyst?

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    2. There are many fears building. Oh yes vaccines definitely. Mass immunization is a fear event.

      And this...

      On Wednesday, President ordered a fresh U.S. intelligence inquiry into the origins of the pandemic, asking for a report in 90 days that he said should include specific questions for China.

      90 days that is August/September

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  19. Parabolic AMC was estopped by my channel posted on Twitter

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  20. Louis, these are the dates I'm watching closely:
    june 2 + 18-20 june
    2-3 august
    13 + 28 september

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  21. SC, UVXY is getting pretty cheap, pre split $3.49 per share. I’m waiting for your buy signal. I would have never guessed that we would be seeing at this price.

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    Replies
    1. After a panic such as we saw last year, UVXY comes way down. It takes a long time for UVXY to work off the panic.

      So that's why it's super important to wait for that setup and timing.

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  22. Vix looks like it going 14.80 lower wer

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  23. sc,

    The Vix gets down to 15----UVXY will be a Buy, that is for sure!

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    Replies
    1. VIX getting there but the futures curve in a steep contango for months yet. UVXY still has an uphill battle.

      Vixcentral.com

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  24. Sc what is your Twitter handle

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  25. AMC gapping up to the channel line once again.

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  26. We are starting holiday trading so it's going to get quiet. The shortened holiday week may actually help AMC keep it's momentum though.

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  27. AMC did squeeze above the channel but as soon the shorts covered the price dropped.

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  28. GME didn't do much. Only some sympathy to AMC.

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  29. sc,

    The market is up and the Vix is up!

    Has the Vix bottomed!

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    Replies
    1. Good observation and noticed that as well. I don't know that VIX has bottomed but certainly it is an early indication to watch.

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