Pages

Sunday, October 12, 2025

$SPX - Government Closed

SPX has performed poorly this year with weak gains. The Government has now closed and the longer it is closed the worse market conditions will become. So now the clock is ticking and the market is running out of time. Weekly Chart

35 comments:

  1. Earlier in the year I had warned that any savings from DOGE and money brought in from tariffs would not be enough.

    ReplyDelete
  2. My calculations were correct and the US ran out of money. The Government closed.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Initially I feel that the markets can function for a while, but the longer the Government is closed the more chaotic things will become and, make no mistake, it will weigh heavily.

    ReplyDelete
  4. VIX holding support today at the 200 dma. SPX bounce today, still declining.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Any upside targets for VIX on this run - 60?

      Thanks SC.

      Delete
    2. Yes I'll post VIX chart next. This is a fear event with the government closed. VIX can go very high!

      Delete
  5. Hopes are high but unfortunately the government won't reopen until the market collapses.

    ReplyDelete
  6. AI is in a bubble now. The problem there is that while deals have been announced for investment that's years away. Nothing is happening now.

    ReplyDelete
  7. I do expect several attempts to restart the government first. Those will fail. That's when fear will really spike and biggest plunge at that time.

    ReplyDelete
  8. Hahaha!

    "White House economic advisor Hassett says shutdown could end this week"

    ReplyDelete
  9. Not even an attempt this week to open the government. Instead demolished the White House!

    ReplyDelete
  10. If trump gets them to pass no tax for americans markets will explode higher

    ReplyDelete
  11. Typical month end window dressing. Tariff trial set to begin early November!! Getting ready to short!

    ReplyDelete
  12. XBI now targeting 176, gave you targets long ago while you keep thinking a govt shutdown is meaningful, what its showing Americans is its not needed outside of core functions

    Biden hired 1 million govt DEI and woke workers, no illegals should get a penny, they are leeches

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I've always said that shrinking the government was what was necessary. Shutting down the government completely is reckless and will result in major crisis. Soon it will be the longest shutdown in history.

      The country can function for a while until it can't. Nobody thinks anything bad will happen?

      Conditions are developing for a crash.

      Delete
    2. didn't happen but now we know how much fraud is in the system, the only way to rid it is starve with tax revolt

      19 M on Snap before Biden
      42 after

      Democrats are the nazis

      Delete
  13. SPX target will likely go lower than this April. SPX set to lose the entire rally from 2023. Target 4,250.

    ReplyDelete
  14. Ronald Reagan April 1987:

    "Then the worst happens. Markets shrink and collapse."

    ReplyDelete
  15. My top picks for this rally included HOOD and only pick for tech was NFLX.

    HOOD up from $8 to $147. 1,800%
    NFLX up about 1,000% and split announced yesterday 20 to 1.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. HOOD will have wild swings though in the coming recession. Blowout top could still occur.

      NFLX is still a good recession pick. Can perform well even in the recession.

      Delete
  16. Longest government closed in history!

    ReplyDelete
  17. Markets accelerate down as flights cuts across the US.

    ReplyDelete
  18. Oil XLE incredibly up today. I say and say again Oil something everyone uses.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. AI fake deals and no profit

      Delete
    2. Wonder what impact the possible Venezuela invasion will have on oil SC?

      Delete
    3. Well they are getting desperate trying to hold Oil down which is why they are now looking at Venezuela.

      Delete
  19. VIX spikes above 21. Looking like a golden cross on daily VIX set up.

    ReplyDelete
  20. "The Hindenburg Omen occurred on most days last week, while the Titanic Syndrome was triggered six times over eight trading days through early November."

    ReplyDelete
  21. The Hindenburg in fact gave a good signal and markets heading lower short term into month end.

    ReplyDelete
  22. A November to remember! Don't forget tariff trial starting next...

    ReplyDelete
  23. Markets plunge again! Heading lower and should be a smoother decline now as the bounces fail yet again.

    ReplyDelete
  24. XBI now target of 200, of course I was telling everyone here to buy at 85

    ReplyDelete