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Thursday, February 25, 2021

CCL - Before/After

Carnival bottomed exactly as shown in previous analysis and has reached the price target. The target has been reached ahead of schedule. Daily

52 comments:

  1. CCL has met target quickly! Good spot to take profits.

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  2. Testing different chart formats also. Provided this update for those following reopening trades.

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  3. Out of Carnival and bought RIG at $3.45.

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  4. RIG is attractive here because Oil is $15 higher than January and RIG is cheaper than the January high. Nice discount. As said before expect it's moving towards $4. There might be another opportunity to enter around $3.

    RIG target $5.60. I look at the first run November to January and calculate 3/4 of that for the second run starting from $3. Measured move.

    Expect drillers to perform well as Oil nears a peak.

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    Replies
    1. In addition on February 22 RIG issue bonds convertible at $5.25.

      "The Senior Guaranteed Exchangeable Bonds will have an initial exchange rate of 190.4762 Transocean common shares, par value 0.10 Swiss francs per share (“Common Shares”), per $1,000 original principal amount, subject to adjustment, and will be convertible into Common Shares, implying an initial exchange price of approximately $5.25 per share."

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    2. RIG weekly 200 ma is at $7.

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  5. Gamestop it hit a low at the hearing. It's just testing that gap area.

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    Replies
    1. you would scalp long gamestop at these levels?

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    2. Gamestop could see a little higher next week. I agree scalp only.

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    3. Do you think GME could fill the gap? I think if it fills the gap then it can go by 400. What do you think?

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    4. All it's doing in my opinion is filling the gap

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    5. Thank you for sharing your insights. I don't have GME but believe it will happen again and again (not GME though) so I want to learn how to see it next time.

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    6. Definitely it will continue to happen. This dynamic is here to stay for a while. Thank you!

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  6. We do have some decent short interest in RIG as well. Reddit may well target it we will see.

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  7. sc,

    looks like we are dropping a little--SPX--we should hold 3850

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    Replies
    1. SPX probably bounce tomorrow and a lower low next week. It's getting action at the month end turn date.

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  8. lou,

    smart move -bother

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  9. Lou have u sold AMC if yes where will u buy again thanks

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  10. Sc u still expecting vix 18, it is 30 now

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  11. Can u please give a road map for spy now

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  12. VIX closed right at the weekly 50 ma

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  13. sc,

    has anything changed---you are still expecting a new high --after this correction???

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  14. Let's go giddy up we are looking for a 3 day rally 3950 plus

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  15. lou,

    nice move ----congratulations!

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  16. lou,

    I bought on the dip---I wait to the end of the day to average in!

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    Replies
    1. Nazdaq down 8% from highs. Peculiar that last low at
      50 ma was at the last day of Jan.

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  17. "UVXY, AWAY: Big ETF Inflows | Nasdaq" https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/uvxy-away%3A-big-etf-inflows-2021-02-26?amp

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  18. https://analisisbolsa.com/yo-veo-un-movimiento-lateral-antes-que-un-movimiento-a-la-baja-pero/

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  19. sc,

    should we buy puts on UVXY???

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    Replies
    1. I thought about it but I decided not. It could work but just seemed like a hassle. UVXY consolidate soon for one thing. It is coming down though choppy. I have another plan for a volatility option trade later. It's going to be massive. I always use VXX options.

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  20. lou,

    nice call Friday!

    Double on SPY calls---

    Love you brother!

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  21. RIG rising nice and steady. Should see that $4 plus next week.

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  22. sc,

    Uvxy --is 8.50--where or what level will be an entry on this?

    it is not reacting like it should!

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  23. this looks like 6 bucks for entry point!

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    Replies
    1. I'm waiting for UVXY to capitulate, which it will. So far just bouncing around. The capitulation is coming and it will be deep.

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