Pages

Monday, November 19, 2012

UVXY - Symmetry Update - Decline to #2


The symmetrical pattern continues to play out for UVXY.  The combination of forks with exact geometry contained price action nicely.  Sideways consolidation completed with a failure at multiple resistances.  Decline to #2 is anticipated to be underway.  It could take several weeks time to fully complete with bounces along the way down.

VIX did not spike last week, and that was an important clue to confirm the surprise rally for SPX. 

UVXY symmetry suggests to be prepared for a wild ride in December markets!  Once UVXY reaches #4 in the symmetry, then larger cycles come into the picture as will be explained...

60min Chart
 
Before:

"A comparison is being made between the white circles, and the symmetry suggests there is some downside coming for UVXY to #2."

60min Chart

18 comments:

  1. It is early, and will be looking at pricing and dates as things progress.

    The symmetry continues to suggest that SPX is setting to surprise on the upside in coming weeks though it will probably bounce around with dips short term.

    ReplyDelete
  2. SC,
    Your forecast is amazingly correct. Thanks a lot!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thank you Darren. What is interesting is that with SPX diving last week, UVXY never broke out.

      UVXY followed the symmetry and traded within the geometric patterns!

      Delete
  3. If it takes several weeks for UVXY to reach #2, that means santa rally will take place this year. What will be your target for SPX?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I continue to think SPX is setting up to spike (not quite ready). I'll be reviewing targets as things progress. There is a fair bit of upside for SPX from this level imo.

      1415 is a conservative level to start with though it can still dip first.

      Delete
  4. I think we'll see whipsaws Nov and Dec for SPX. Choppy but rally overall with sharp rallies.

    ReplyDelete
  5. SC,

    I think S&P will go to 1260 or below 1300 before making any progress from this level...Just my view..

    Cheers

    ReplyDelete
  6. Stockboom,
    What is your predicted pattern in the coming one month?

    ReplyDelete
  7. I may look to take S&P profit next few days, and reload on a soft spot later Nov.

    Early Dec looks especially strong in my SPX cycle with the rest of Dec looking very weak.

    ReplyDelete
  8. Hi SC looks like market might pull back to maybe 1355-1365 some time this week or early next week before resuming rally to 1450+. How do you see the price levels during this period. I agree with you it will probably be choppy.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes Muzz, I agree. Perhaps some, but not much upside and quiet this week imo. Then, most likely next week can see 1355-65 area tested before a strong push.

      Delete
  9. Well there it is again - Kong's call on getting short the dollar...right on the money.

    http://www.forexkong.com

    Looks like equities are set to fly.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Bigger move up in the dollar is coming IMO.

      Delete
  10. SC,
    do you still think SPX has topped here and will start to go down next week, and then surge in early Dec? thx

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There is some resistance for SPX at this 1405 level, but may still be higher early next week. 1415-1420 is important in my work. Then a weak spot around end of the month. Early Dec looks stronger.

      Delete
  11. Hi SC, gold looks like it maybe starting to break out on the upside, are you looking to go long?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I'm just watching for now, but yes the metals are heating up.

      Delete
  12. Joed,

    any updates to your dow charts?
    http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-zgavnsnfj1w/UKWTS0VB1kI/AAAAAAAAKTg/r7b8PuDrLFU/s400/DOW.jpg


    Do you see any short term pull back from these levels?

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete