Pages

Thursday, August 21, 2014

$VIX - Cycle Update - Timing!

VIX found resistance and has been declining from the recent high as predicted by the VIX Cycle.  The Second Yellow Arrow low is due in September according to the Cycle.

More importantly, the Cycle shows a massive spike up occurring from the Second Yellow Arrow low.  The First White Arrow high is due in December!     


VIX Cycle with direct comparison to VIX Daily:

 

Saturday, August 2, 2014

$VIX - Nearing Cycle Spike High

VIX is testing the red line currently.  VIX may overshoot the red line by a few points, but is nearing a Cycle high. 

In the Cycle, the level of the blue arrow highs was powerful resistance.  Therefore, around 20, is likely to be strong resistance for VIX. 

Most importantly, the Second Yellow Arrow low is due later this year.

Daily Chart
 
VIX Cycle 1:

 

Saturday, July 12, 2014

Silver - Cycle Update - Large Decline Due

The Silver bear market is likely to resume with the next leg lower due in the Cycle.  A steep plunge is shown in the Cycle down to the green arrow.

Targets are $13 for Silver and Gold under $1,000 at the next green arrow low.  Ultimately, the bear market Cycle target remains at $6.50 and another 3-4 years lower.   

2day Chart
















Silver Bear Market Cycle:


















Sunday, June 8, 2014

$VIX - Cycle Update - First Yellow Arrow Target Reached!

VIX completed the three blue arrows, and has, in fact, declined as predicted by the Cycle.

The first yellow arrow target has been reached both in terms of timing and price.  VIX should be near the yellow arrow Cycle low currently.

Next, the Cycle shows VIX advancing up to test approximately 16's near the red line again.  In accordance with the Cycle, it will likely be a violent spike up for VIX.  Timing is anticipated to be due late July.

4-hour Chart

















VIX Cycle 1:

Sunday, May 11, 2014

$VIX - Cycle Update - Three Blue Arrows


The blue arrow Cycle high appears to be complete.  The Cycle predicted the VIX high would consist of three spikes.  That has, in fact, been the case.  The Cycle continues.

Therefore next, VIX should decline short term to the yellow arrow Cycle low.  VIX around 10 looks possible for the yellow arrow low.

The Cycle suggests a volatile summer ahead though.  Assuming the Cycle continues to play out at the current pace, the first yellow arrow low is due in a month or so.

4hour Chart

















VIX Cycle 1:

Sunday, April 6, 2014

$SPX - Major Trendline to be Tested

SPX is peaking with a decline anticipated for the rest of the year.  The current market is simply quite overextended, and exhausted.

In contrast, VIX bottomed in March of 2013 - a year ago.  VIX has been rising for over a year, and that is a clear warning signal.

A decline for SPX is likely to be choppy with significant bounces on the way down as it corrects to the trendline from 2009.  A 250 point decline is estimated for SPX from the current level, and that represents a 13% decline.

3day Chart


Sunday, March 16, 2014

$VIX - Forecast Update


VIX held the support level specified in the VIX forecast.  As well, VIX also surged up last week in tune with the rise shown in the VIX forecast.

VIX tested the midfork on Friday, and some mild resistance for several days could be expected.  Short term, the next high is targeted for VIX late this month.

Overall the VIX Cycle shows an elevated VIX for a couple more months.

60min Chart
















Forecast:

2hour Chart