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Thursday, June 16, 2022

UVXY - Volatility Waking Up, VIX Weekly Golden Cross

UVXY starting to rise up. VIX made a golden cross on weekly chart. Daily

38 comments:

  1. Volatility ETFs are too low...

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  2. SPX has already dropped, VIX golden cross.

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  3. Are you expecting UVXY to breakout above $20?

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    1. Eventually it could but we'll see. It may fill in.

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  4. Positioned in UVIX which started trading only in March.

    So the plan is to use the UVXY chart $20 to time the exit in UVIX.

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    1. Last time UVXY hit $19, UVIX hit $27 so could see $30 if UVXY gets to $20

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    2. Yes that's what I was thinking also. $30 to $35 UVIX.

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    3. I would much rather see VIX 85 and UVIX at $100-200

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  5. SPX I'm looking at a low in second half of July

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  6. The move started yesterday and as typical it was a "big Fed day". This was the red herring that prevented many from trading.

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  7. Now we sit back, enjoy the ride!

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  8. SPX not even oversold on daily

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  9. Japan --dumping our treasuries to support their market --buying their own bonds --if China starts dumping our treasuries---we can back at SPX 2000--thanks Potus!

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    1. Potus with his loudspeaker attack on oil and gas producers just cost pensioners and yield players about 15% loss since he started posturing.....this guy needs to be removed along with the ho

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  10. Volatility just slowly perking up. That's a pretty good indication of how much complacency is in this financial system.

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  11. “ Wallstreet preparing for temporary halt of all trading markets for late next week in an effort to curb mass sell-offs due to the coming economic depression. ”

    and

    “ Expect WW3 officially announced by end of July.”

    Twitter: NYCryptoKing

    ——————

    Absolutely no idea if this is legit or not...but best fear porn I’ve read in awhile...

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  12. SC, Any thoughts on LABU? You mentioned not too long ago you were going to comment on LABU.

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    1. Yes the low for LABU and XBI was probably in place last week but I don't expect much yet. Rattle up and down for a few weeks as it forms a bottoming pattern and then it'll run harder.

      Biotech is very oversold from February 2021. Much more so than SPX.

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    2. Xbi could get to 80 very fast if it gets thru 73 area..liquidity did move in..lots of clinical fda news forthcoming..I would say get in on any weakness

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  13. “ Wallstreet preparing for temporary halt of all trading markets for late next week in an effort to curb mass sell-offs due to the coming economic depression. ”---twitter is rumor --but who knows!

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  14. SC, what are your thoughts on GUSH right now?

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    1. GUSH compounds up in a rising market but the reverse is true in a falling market. Last week Oil stocks rolled over. GUSH up this week but down for a while.

      I've been waiting for this pullback and plan to reenter Oil later in the summer.

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  15. Volatility cooling this holiday week. It'll be back next week. UVIX last week was trading in the upper gap. Now this week it'll trade in the lower.

    Volatility is in a rising trend. It is preparing to spike in coming weeks.

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  16. Volatility expanding. Plan to load up Friday.

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  17. How high do you expect VIX to spike?

    Do you think UVIX will fill the gap at $15.87 first?

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    1. UVXY at least test the gap, UVIX is more leveraged and possibly fill

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    2. VIX is warming up at this stage, not major just yet.

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  18. enjoying LABU from 4.20...
    81 XBI first target
    Proshares first short crypto fund BITI

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  19. Most believe that the rally is a bear market rally. What's the thinking regarding where (at what price) will this bear rally end? I'm thinking a first target is around 4000 ES (upper channel line of descending channel) and a possible second target of 4150 ES. And finally, are there any who believe the bottom is in and we're headed for new all time highs?

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  20. I am looking for Spx 4200 by end of month (window dressing)-I also think the highs are in to the next presidential election--we should see 4 to 6 quarters down-lets see how the inflation indicators do in July-be nimble!

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  21. SC,

    Did you load up with UVXY/UVIX last Friday?

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    1. No I didn't. Although UVIX did come down last week to test the gap as expected, it doesn't look ready yet.

      Volatility charts look good, but I think the next window for Volatility is coming soon late July.

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