Finding the edge in analyzing unique market Cycles.
Es hit 2782 on aug 6 dont you thinkThat was close enough or are you expecting a double bottom
I thought it was interesting that SPX respected the model and didn't see that level on the futures.
https://imgur.com/a/wMh5fSFAug 5th es futures td ameritrade
Big bounce coming!!!!!!
Yes, ready to bounce.
The model is clear here though. Expect a bounce and a little lower in August. Little downside at this level.
Looking closely you can actually see yesterday's bounce and today's dip.
By when oct?
Oct? Uvxy up and vix flat scam
Are you shorting this bounce? 2900?
Yes soon, 2,920 to 2,930
so after this bounce anther big drop?
Yes, 2,920 down to 2,810.
Nice short yesterday, good long this morning. Short soon again.
Volatility works both ways
UVXY $30 or under good for a trade I think.
close enough then up on uvxy to where 34?
SC wouldnt it be wise to shift out of svxy and flip into uvxy for the next drop or are you expecting higher in the shortterm?
I might do that
Wouldn't that be nice
just plain englishhttps://imgur.com/a/7o4wwSb
covered my uvxy short at31.65
i will short this pig again when it pops the prrofit was 2 greati had no choice
Did we see the top Thursday?
there is a possibility that we hit 279 on spy
looks like we are on our way down
did you see the last 15 minutes.This market is so rigged.
SC, do you still see higher next week? what price are you looking to sell SVXY?
Yes, expect the rally to last two more days. UVXY $28 Tuesday then $40 on Wednesday/Thursday.Something is about to happen this week. What is it? I'll guess Iran.
sc wondering if 40 first then 28 lol?
so your looking for 1 day vix drop
SC, now your reaching big time, pushing on strings for a black swan....if your a cycle guy what would you even mention Iran for
what Black swan event the one on cnbc this morning lol
short uvxy at 35.80
i am looking for a gap up tomm looking above 2900
WOW! That would make for an awesome week!
Resistance is 2940 under 2900 seems to be a problem
i think new highs are coming into september
wow another day like today we will be at 40 on uvxy
Covered uvxy short at 33.46
What is more important, uvxy at 28 or SP at 2930-2940?
Bam!!! There we go! Volatility should settle down.
SC - are you still waiting to buy UVXY near $28 for a pop to $40 this week?
Yes, and it's looking excellent!
In my opinion shorting every pop in uvxy has made me nice money
2810 i wonder?
SPX holding quite well actually. I think we've seen the low for this month. Up for 4 weeks next.
What is important here is to see how we close the week.
Charts say the selloff due September 16th.
Looking to short tvix
Again, probably what we are waiting for is the ratification of the US Mexico Canada agreement in September.Therefore, SPX rally into September.
SPX target in September, still 3050?
SPX moving consistent with the model.
Shotted tvix 21
Shorted more at 21.90
Today was forecast as a big down day, and certainly we do have that.
Bitcoin plunging again. May see another bounce 9,800 to 12k. Overall it is heading for the 8k target.
SC, I checked the website you mentioned regarding GBTC, still a bit confused, so when I sell GBTC the gain is the profit from GBTC sell - Trust's expenses? Thanks!
Yes, search Grayscale Bitcoin Trust 2018 Tax Letter. All the expense information is there for 2018, and examples of calculations.
uvxy looking like 40 before 28 lol
im gonna short this turd until it drops
2843 exponential 200 day average we should bounce up hard let's see?
RIP your face off really coming!!!@@
sc do you plan on taking more svxy?
Maybe, let's see this play out a bit.
Uvxy almost 40
Bam theres 40 on uvxy
Sc well you did call 40 just came earlier
2816 is only 7% down. We should be at 2744-2777 with the news headlines! Hope we get there :(
You might after aug 20 into sept 16
It's just amazing how UV XY hit 40 twice
Fractals of exactly one year ago or even this past May...2876-92 important. 2908-13 extremely important in near future.
It might blast through that tomorrowBradley turn on 16
Shorted more tvix at 23.70
sc im thinking 32 on uvxy and 18 on tvix your thoughts?
Similarities in price/time to 1967 so far https://imgur.com/a/XPNlKQd
Interesting, thank you!
Let's keep an eye on this.
Covered tvix short
Good call, it might rise into the close today.
Bought GBTC $12.85.
Bitcoin dipped to 9,800, and can spike to 12,000. Just a quick pop.SCAugust 14, 2019 at 9:00 AM"Bitcoin plunging again. May see another bounce 9,800 to 12k. Overall it is heading for the 8k target."
Expect SPX to rally all of next week, hitting another high next Friday 2,950.
You might hit that today with a strong close
so 2950 in August,, then 3050 high in September?
Yes, this week positive. The high should be on Friday but it won't be much higher than on Wednesday. Thursday a down day so exiting longs on Wednesday is a good strategy. This week looks strong and yes September looks good too, but there is a catch. Next week big selloff. Look to short Thursday or Friday.
Thanks for the heads up SC
SVXY $53 next Friday August 23rd.
That's the next bradley top I will wait till monday I was expecting a lot higher today it might go higher today as well But a mass of profit like that it just had to be taken
Bitcoin surging from our entry! Beautiful!!
Big sell off? My curiosity is peaked.
Yes, UVXY coming down to the $28 and then....
SC - Do we got back to 40 on UVXY and then onto new highs for SPX?
UVXY coming down to our $28 and $44 UVXY next week.
I will buy that at 28 it shorted at 44 this is the 3rd time this had 40
Notice Bitcoin and SPX are now in alignment! Spiking together this week and plummeting together next week...Bitcoin 12k this week 9,100 next week.
Hot close!! Therefore consolidation day tomorrow.
Sc I'm thinking 2893.63 spx then up to 2940?
Looks like a major trap here I believe in my opinion the May lows will be tested again
there are 2 gaps 2857 and 2893 either we fill them now or later
Sc uvxy 28.60 aftermarket are you looking to go long at 28 or lower
Yes, it is time. Excellent setup for UVXY.
Firstly, UVXY can pop to $31 today. Tomorrow it'll likely settle back to $28. Next week looks very interesting for a spike in volatility.
Sold SVXY $52.70.
Bought UVXY $28.80.
Holding for 31 and then out tobuy to buy at 28?
Yes that is a good strategy. Or can simply hold UVXY for the bigger play until next Thursday August 29th.
Sold GBTC $13.20.
UVXY near the $31!!! That was fast Hahaha!
Sold UVXY $31.
that was quick im out 2 i will buy back 28
Thanks for your great calls!
You are more than welcome, my friend! We are about to have some serious fun!!
Yes - thanks again for your guidance - has been very helpful SC!! Can't wait for the real fun to start soon!
2795. Maybe 2995 first though.
2888 gap could be filled
first 2950 tomm
Bought UVXY $29.70.
Back 2 31 0r higher
Are you looking at another quick pop or are you taking a longer term position?
UVXY probably closes over $30 today.
While tomorrow does look positive for SPX, technically the selloff is anticipated to begin tomorrow intraday. I do expect UVXY could see $28.50 tomorrow.
The stock market can freefall on Monday with SPX down as much as 100 on the day. Then continuation lower with another big drop on Wednesday. Lower again on Thursday August 29th. Monday and Wednesday look especially negative next week.
What level do you see UVXY on next week's pop? 36-40?
Also... look at what happened post Jackson Hole in 2015. https://imgur.com/a/VqjhS0O
Thanks, yes the market often turns at this time, Jackson Hole. One of the most interesting timings each year.
UVXY should reach $44 next Thursday.
New chart posted!