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Tuesday, June 25, 2019

Gold - Fake Breakout!

Gold traders are excited about a breakout, but we can see clearly that Gold is approaching strong resistance and the dominant trend remains down.

Gold has been down off the major high in 2011 for eight years so far with the Gold bear market to continue.

Weekly

22 comments:

  1. For those that really want to chase after the last little bit of this Gold rally, Silver may pop better short term, but Silver is extremely weak and should hit $10 on the next down leg into 2020.

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    Replies
    1. I haven't been interested either.

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    2. Volatility is the best market, so that is where I have been focused.

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  2. Gold is bearish, although not as bad as I anticipated. Silver is every bit as bad, the biggest bear market of them all!

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  3. I think there is a little more but look to short Gold $1500.

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  4. SPX dipping into quarter end. The first quarter was strong, but this quarter only a small gain. 3rd quarter next, down, in the red.

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  5. with the vix up .60 cents i thought we would be up 1.20 on uvxy?

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    Replies
    1. UVXY up to $33's as expected. $30 next.

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    2. SVXY dipped to test the 50 dma at $53. Enough support to keep it afloat for the short term.

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    3. So you look up for a move back Up SVXY

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    4. UVXY has formed the trading range as expected for this week.

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    5. are u dumping uvxy to buy it back cheaper or are you holding and averaging in

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    6. Either strategy works.

      UVXY $30 to $33 trading range for now. Expect $27 in July. Then $50.

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  6. Gold just doesn't have much going for it. Trump threatening Iran, and that's a smart strategy, Trump is wild enough to take seriously, but Trump is a businessman and wars are expensive.

    The planet has never been more peaceful than now. No wars.

    And how does Gold compete with Bitcoin. It can't.

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  7. $33.67 UVXY today. 8 pennies from target.

    SCJune 20, 2019 at 11:33 AM

    "Strong reaction today for UVXY off the April $30 low. UVXY might pop a little here to $33.75 or so."

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  8. dumped uvxy33.50 and spxs at 18.78 gonna buy back in july or at 30

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  9. SC: are you always waiting a pull back around 2810 and then run up to 3000 for S&p500?
    the minimum during the first week of July?

    many thanks

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    Replies
    1. SPX looks like it can see 2900 tested a week from now, but expecting a high middle of July. It's down from there to 2,810 easily and lower.

      3,000 will be tested eventually but I don't think SPX will be strong enough in July to do it. So pullback for a few months next.

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  10. Don't get old waiting for Gold!

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    ReplyDelete