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Wednesday, September 11, 2024

SVXY - Retest Lows Likely

Markets are weak and another shot of volatility can come next! A rate cut next week may be a disappointment if it does not match the markets expectations. Daily

13 comments:

  1. SVXY ran into a brick wall of overhead resistance at the orange trendline.

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  2. Notice a death cross is imminent on SVXY daily.

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  3. Thank you for sharing your thoughts. We had hindenburg omen a few months ago. Do you think UVXY $100 and UVIX $48 are possible in September?

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    1. It is coming soon - sometime between September-November I think. We have a second Trump assassination attempt - another black swan?

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    2. Thanks for your comments, Rob. Things have gotten more interesting. I thought Oct would be an S&P up month since the election is on 11/05, but it's already 9/16 so I'm not sure if we have had enough time to hit the bottom. So far, only 2/10 times were down before the election.

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    3. SMCI could be a catalyst for SMH/QQQ to take a big dipper. They still haven't filed their earnings report:

      https://justdario.com/2024/09/smci-the-nuclear-nothing-burger-that-can-expose-nvidia-shenanigans/

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    4. It's still a negative market environment by the Cycles. I'm not expecting that much for UVXY but I would do some hedging at least.

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  4. September the weakest month for stocks and gold...how will the month end?

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    1. That's a 200 point SPX rally in the last two days...maybe it will top out going into the Fed meeting...

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  5. Weekly Hindenburg Omen signal:

    https://x.com/datruthbomb/status/1834325371661271189?s=46&t=YH-vYkuZLLPqBXU_zUYtaQ

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  6. Wondering if oil finally bottomed at 65 and getting ready for some sort of spike soon?

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  7. Boeing strike is a significant problem right now for the US.

    Boeing is the fourth-largest defense contractor in the world and is one of the largest exporters in the United States by dollar value.

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  8. The longer the Boeing strike continues the more pressure it puts on the market.

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