The lower boundary proved to be strong support and VIX has surged up. VIX is likely heading up to test the upper boundary of the pattern in February.
Daily Chart
Before:
October 24th analysis:
"The VIX has formed a rectangular pattern, and is approaching the main trendline and rectangle support.
VIX is bound within the rectangle in the short term. Once the pattern matures the moves will become extremely violent."
Daily Chart
"WHO declares China coronavirus that’s killed 171 a global health emergency"
ReplyDeleteIncreased TVIX. Bought $49.80.
ReplyDeletedid you sell the first batch
ReplyDeleteNo, decided that tomorrow may be a better day to exit.
DeleteI still expect a bounce early next week.
DeleteBought VXX Feb 7, $16 strike call options at $0.48.
ReplyDeleteVIX over 20 by next Friday.
ReplyDeleteI think tomorrow could be another down day.
ReplyDeletebest money is shorting pops on tvix
ReplyDeletelong tvix at 48.40
ReplyDeletethey dont give a shit about carnovirus
ReplyDeletefrom now on i only wait to short this crap
ReplyDeletewow 46.96
ReplyDeletejust bought some at 47
ReplyDeletebought more 46.58
ReplyDeleteits just collapsing lol
ReplyDeleteWell let's see what happens here. The only real issue is that of timing. It still could be early. So might have to have more patience.
ReplyDeleteSVXY down 2 weeks in a row. It just may not be ready to roll over yet. If that is the case, it may be best to stop out and wait for another entry.
going long this is just outright stupid in my opinion luck i made 10 pints shorting this crap
ReplyDeleteI will buy this piece of crap till it goes up [
ReplyDeleteI am stopping out of all volatility positions this morning. Yesterday the market, in effect, shrugged off coronavirus.
ReplyDeleteSo I want to see the price action play out next. I think TVIX may settle down to about $43.
I dumped premarket already 48.50 them bastards at td ameritrade dont let you sell till after 7 am I'm waiting for big dips 2 buy and huge pops to sell it's not your fault bro big manipulation going on
ReplyDeleteSold all TVIX $48.70.
ReplyDeleteSold all VXX calls also.
ReplyDeleteWe dodged a bullet on that one!
ReplyDeleteLast night was looking pretty bleak.
Just nuts it is
ReplyDeleteShorted tvix at 52.60
ReplyDeleteMy hunch yesterday was correct that today would be another down day. The first instinct is usually correct.
ReplyDeleteNext week though is critical. I am favoring a bounce for SPX to 3,300 before deeper downside.
ReplyDeleteYes your hunch was right I sold that yesterday but bought it back alot of shares then it droped kinda get me a little frustrated
ReplyDeleteI know. It is frustrating, but I like this price action and opportunities that are coming soon.
DeleteSpx should jump on monday? Maybe 3315 or higher?
ReplyDelete3,300 looks possible.
DeleteFor next week.
DeleteWe're flirting with supports and 50 day moving average which is why it is so choppy.
ReplyDeleteOnce we are beyond this period it will go much smoother.
Wow crazy
ReplyDeleteThe VXX calls I had selected yesterday are up 250%.
ReplyDeleteYou had the right idea
ReplyDeleteIt's okay. We are just getting started... It is early.
ReplyDeleteWow shorted tvix 55.30
ReplyDeleteLeft some money on the table, but I’m happy as a pig in mud walking out of last night’s flush at break even. Live to fight another day.
ReplyDeleteIs Feb 5 your new projected UVXY entry day or is it going to be based on price action?
Tell me about trying to get it back
DeleteBy shorting it
Let's review next week.
DeleteRemember, after fear comes panic...
ReplyDeleteSC 3300? 3275 makes a W pattern in the SPX, any significance? The 150 MA is 3055. Are you looking for a break of the 150 MA after Feb 4 or 5? Thanks!
DeleteComin biatch drop
ReplyDeleteAha. I understand. Very clever....
ReplyDeleteHahaha unbelievable.
DeleteSpecial Update coming!
ReplyDeleteSC big smackdown coming!
DeleteStill looking for a high by tomorrow SC?
Deletehttps://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-health-cenbank-idUSKBN1ZW074
ReplyDeleteChina’s central bank said it will inject 1.2 trillion yuan $174 billion) worth of liquidity into the markets, however, 1.05 trillion yuan worth of reverse repos are set to mature on Monday. Futures up 8:30 PM Eastern Time.
Deleteim short this piece of crap gonna cover soon thou
ReplyDeleteSC: are you waiting a new drop in S&p500 i suppose..
ReplyDeleteif so when do you think the next downward thrust can start? with which target?
many thanks...
R.R
Covered short in tvix
ReplyDeleteSpx ripping higher l sold that 2 soon
ReplyDeleteVIX futures curve has inverted! It's entered into backwardation!!!
ReplyDeleteWhat's that mean tvix is gonna drop?
ReplyDeleteVIX very strong. VIX settled today, just minor consolidation. Higher high for VIX by Friday.
ReplyDeleteThis chart looks great!
Does that mean that UV XY and TVIX is higher than prices trading the futures market
ReplyDeleteLooks like 45 coming on tvix
ReplyDeleteSC - looking for 3300 SPX then the crash?
ReplyDeleteEverything will be explained after the close today.
ReplyDeleteCharts, calculated SPX target, TVIX and UVXY targets and timing.
Plan to take positions tomorrow. February 4th. Our turn date...
ReplyDeleteInvestment plans
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