In contrast, VIX bottomed in March of 2013 - a year ago. VIX has been rising for over a year, and that is a clear warning signal.
A decline for SPX is likely to be choppy with significant bounces on the way down as it corrects to the trendline from 2009. A 250 point decline is estimated for SPX from the current level, and that represents a 13% decline.
3day Chart