tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post8805269278817263236..comments2024-03-27T08:45:49.016-07:00Comments on Cyclical Market Analysis: $SPX - Deja Vu Cycle UpdateSChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comBlogger20125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-29388738513185741882013-01-02T04:08:34.803-08:002013-01-02T04:08:34.803-08:00So, even when you are right, you still lose money?...So, even when you are right, you still lose money?cbear2https://www.blogger.com/profile/16201145337136246467noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-73481173504977610252012-12-31T09:26:56.929-08:002012-12-31T09:26:56.929-08:00Happy New Year to you as well Muzz!
I'm not s...Happy New Year to you as well Muzz!<br /><br />I'm not sure how it will play out this week, it could head lower first, but not too much imo. Supports at 1378 to 1390 imo (which has been tested in the futures) and the Cycle suggests a move to 1430-1435 or so SPX.SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-62142883000958917802012-12-31T08:59:52.877-08:002012-12-31T08:59:52.877-08:00Happy New Year SC, to you still see a short term m...Happy New Year SC, to you still see a short term move up in the markets to the 1440 area before the next sell off.Muzzhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10089965117242010751noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-91059549857096446102012-12-31T08:32:35.564-08:002012-12-31T08:32:35.564-08:00A lot of funny business with UVXY today.
VIX and ...A lot of funny business with UVXY today.<br /><br />VIX and VIX futures are down about 9%. UVXY should be down about 14-18%, yet UVXY is only down 4.8%. I would stay out, at least until Wednesday.<br /><br /><br />Arc7https://www.blogger.com/profile/17652126360583005484noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-88063241543316316092012-12-31T07:51:15.158-08:002012-12-31T07:51:15.158-08:00Thank you,
I agree that things are too fractured ...Thank you,<br /><br />I agree that things are too fractured in the short term to really get me interested in trading short term moves. For one thing, I don't like how the S&P futures are making moves that are not following through in regular hours. We've seen this twice in the last week. <br /><br />So I much prefer to wait for a proper setup. SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-34461992990146244502012-12-31T07:36:30.539-08:002012-12-31T07:36:30.539-08:00Nice forum by the way, been following this blog fo...Nice forum by the way, been following this blog for a while. First time posting.<br /><br />VIX futures are way down, so they are not following anything as of this moment, weird!<br /><br />I don't think anyone should trade these two days. Today or Tomorrow, we either have a mini-crash or we rally strong. Too much risk...Arc7https://www.blogger.com/profile/17652126360583005484noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-4896552554782602722012-12-31T07:25:04.187-08:002012-12-31T07:25:04.187-08:00Something strange is going on there for sure.
UVX...Something strange is going on there for sure.<br /><br />UVXY down, VXX up, and XIV down.<br /><br />I'm going to look into this. SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-32925199921718025152012-12-31T07:13:33.714-08:002012-12-31T07:13:33.714-08:00What is going on with XIV and VXX? they are off by...What is going on with XIV and VXX? they are off by a few percentages and no longer inverses?Arc7https://www.blogger.com/profile/17652126360583005484noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-26564407645669594542012-12-31T07:08:12.217-08:002012-12-31T07:08:12.217-08:00I'll be looking for confirmation this week. M...I'll be looking for confirmation this week. My focus is shifting from short term moves to positioning for the bigger picture cycle. SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-49994303429875469502012-12-31T07:04:35.728-08:002012-12-31T07:04:35.728-08:00Exited my S&P trade at 1406 for a 4 point loss...Exited my S&P trade at 1406 for a 4 point loss. I'll wait for things to setup better. SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-42018955713779667202012-12-31T06:47:44.587-08:002012-12-31T06:47:44.587-08:00Regular hours today I believe.Regular hours today I believe.SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-23986359594590531332012-12-31T06:39:50.520-08:002012-12-31T06:39:50.520-08:00when is the market close today?
thankswhen is the market close today?<br /><br />thanksStockboomhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02858305761023998639noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-54306274141677344472012-12-31T06:13:22.141-08:002012-12-31T06:13:22.141-08:00Current oversold condition requires a short term r...Current oversold condition requires a short term rally on some promising news from Congress--today & Jan 2nd should recover some lost ground<br />later<br />JayJay Strausshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11442169444589843815noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-67462935482492015772012-12-30T07:59:24.118-08:002012-12-30T07:59:24.118-08:00No, I believe UVXY will cool off in January. So I...No, I believe UVXY will cool off in January. So I will wait for it to settle again to take my positions. <br /><br />SPX is near a low in my model, and the model suggests a bounce to around 1430 or so. UVXY should therefore cool off.<br /><br />As well, in my model, we are also entering into the "quiet period" soon. I called the next SPX phase the quiet period because it should be a period of low volatility. <br /><br />Of course, I am keenly watching UVXY. It's time is coming, but I won't chase here. Waiting. SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-87972430450774513292012-12-29T22:57:01.897-08:002012-12-29T22:57:01.897-08:00Hi SC,
do you think it's good time to buy UVXY...Hi SC,<br />do you think it's good time to buy UVXY on Monday? Since SPX will reach 1365.HJhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11100222387715095597noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-53278710467664500372012-12-29T18:53:04.409-08:002012-12-29T18:53:04.409-08:00I have a whole stack of big picture charts coming ...I have a whole stack of big picture charts coming soon. There is much more to say about the interpretation and the implications of these cycles. <br /><br />I've been waiting as the phases unfold, and it is time to bring up a number of important issues. SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-15253121718908426982012-12-29T17:40:56.055-08:002012-12-29T17:40:56.055-08:001365 SPX on Monday. I do not expect that to be hi...1365 SPX on Monday. I do not expect that to be hit though. Futures came close enough on Friday that it could be considered a test. <br /><br /> SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-91846686936799325602012-12-29T13:56:45.446-08:002012-12-29T13:56:45.446-08:00SC, where do you see the important red trendline l...SC, where do you see the important red trendline located on Monday, around 1360 area according to the graph #1?Traderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04378215683236676470noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-52187332299383302432012-12-29T09:29:27.042-08:002012-12-29T09:29:27.042-08:00I'll plan to go short at around 1430 SPX.I'll plan to go short at around 1430 SPX.SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-90244010422866650512012-12-29T09:27:31.208-08:002012-12-29T09:27:31.208-08:00It will be helpful to see confirmation this coming...It will be helpful to see confirmation this coming week for SPX. It is preferable to see regular hours trading rather than after hours S&P futures. SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.com