tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post8675091788451031098..comments2024-03-28T11:33:25.049-07:00Comments on Cyclical Market Analysis: $SPX - Freefall ImminentSChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comBlogger213125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-63970922213743156342012-07-08T13:35:48.420-07:002012-07-08T13:35:48.420-07:00please another page to post on...i can't read ...please another page to post on...i can't read last 12 or os posts'''thanksAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-41844748364485361552012-07-08T10:54:11.059-07:002012-07-08T10:54:11.059-07:00Really hard to read the chart and get dates and pr...Really hard to read the chart and get dates and price ranges for the SPX moves in July. Any chance to get these written even if it just in time/price windows? ThanksDavid Marklehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08507418018535609443noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-59649570336938485732012-07-08T08:35:09.465-07:002012-07-08T08:35:09.465-07:00SC:
If the market DOES start to grind higher, wil...SC:<br /><br />If the market DOES start to grind higher, will you continue to hold your UVXY, stop out, or average down further?<br /><br />I'm just curious how you will handle the trade if it goes against you -- not as someone who doubts you -- but as someone who is trying to become a better trader of this vehicle and wants to understand how you manage risk.<br /><br />Thanks for everything.<br /><br />-BickyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-70987654828229477412012-07-08T08:24:54.893-07:002012-07-08T08:24:54.893-07:00is the high target that you saw is simply due to r...is the high target that you saw is simply due to reverse split 1:10... and not the actual stock appreciation?AMhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16653995150217130058noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-53541414445360684422012-07-07T18:19:13.912-07:002012-07-07T18:19:13.912-07:00SC, et al, a good article from Barron's that c...SC, et al, a good article from Barron's that continues our discussion concerning commodities and the impending decline.<br /><br />http://www.businesscycle.com/ecri-news-events/news-details/economic-cycle-research-institute-the-threat-from-a-recessionMakerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13257226242120137196noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-49206181781273806052012-07-07T08:45:18.996-07:002012-07-07T08:45:18.996-07:00Hi SC, hope you're enjoying your weekend. I wo...Hi SC, hope you're enjoying your weekend. I would like to get your thoughts going into next week? I know you've said in your previous posts that next week is even more negative than the last.<br /><br />Do you think we will finally get the pop in the UVXY that we're been anticipating or do you think it will continue its slow grind higher?<br /><br />ThanksUnknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16417044368313259909noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-59748442805928988132012-07-07T08:43:45.983-07:002012-07-07T08:43:45.983-07:00Hi SC, hope you're enjoying your weekend. I wo...Hi SC, hope you're enjoying your weekend. I would like to get your thoughts going into next week? I know you've said in your previous posts that next week is even more negative than the last.<br /><br />Do you think we will finally get the pop in the UVXY that we're been anticipating or do you think it will continue its slow grind higher?<br /><br />ThanksUnknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16417044368313259909noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-76410834771509416582012-07-07T07:07:56.607-07:002012-07-07T07:07:56.607-07:00SC, you said that the cycles are much more negativ...SC, you said that the cycles are much more negative.<br />We all know that monetary policy decisions have a great impact on markets. This week, there is an fomc meeting. So this meeting will be bearish for markets, including precious metals markets because precious metals are strongly correlated with liquidity injections. On a global macro perspective, I dont understand why you are saying that precious metals will surge on the short term...Bobo Mikhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13312529043980317394noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-39955507263804184842012-07-07T06:58:27.131-07:002012-07-07T06:58:27.131-07:00last week of this month could be very dangerous. d...last week of this month could be very dangerous. do you guys remember last FED meeting? UVXY was going down everyday fast. so in two weeks we have to draw back no matter what price of UVXY is.HJhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11100222387715095597noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-52190080224347667802012-07-07T06:42:27.847-07:002012-07-07T06:42:27.847-07:00everybody is still sleeping?everybody is still sleeping?HJhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11100222387715095597noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-16919454717351310152012-07-07T06:37:42.799-07:002012-07-07T06:37:42.799-07:00I try to find this news of reverse split on Horizo...I try to find this news of reverse split on Horizon website and couldn't find it...technically it doesn't matter if it reverse split or not as long as VIX goes up, but if it goes down fast then bigger issues...Stockboomhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02858305761023998639noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-9320401199009207512012-07-06T22:40:38.387-07:002012-07-06T22:40:38.387-07:00My 1st post here. Think of volatility as the spre...My 1st post here. Think of volatility as the spread between top and bottom. In fact the more the S&P shoots up, the more violent the VIX move will be on the way down. One or two down days is not enough to shoot the VIX up because it just means that the index is back along the trend line. Next week at some point it will shoot up if the sell-off continues. Let's say VIX is 19... up 10% is 20.9, HVU up 20% to roughly $2.70; VIX up another 10% to 23, HVU up another 20% to $3.25; VIX up another 10% to 25.3, HVU up another 20% to $3.90; VIX up another 10% to 27.8; HVU up another 20% to $4.70. These are just rough estimates. VIX will jump after sustained selling. Let's see what happens next week.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17667548461103815072noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-43945177824068954472012-07-06T20:57:59.644-07:002012-07-06T20:57:59.644-07:00SS76 , what do you mean?SS76 , what do you mean?HJhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11100222387715095597noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-26080234691443255242012-07-06T20:47:23.156-07:002012-07-06T20:47:23.156-07:00Hvu is consolidating 1:10!!!!!!!!Hvu is consolidating 1:10!!!!!!!!SS76https://www.blogger.com/profile/05254142166449670930noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-73922102848633530872012-07-06T20:38:26.859-07:002012-07-06T20:38:26.859-07:00I'm afraid VIX doesn't go with SP. what ca...I'm afraid VIX doesn't go with SP. what can cause fear? nothing, The hope of QE3 will kill us.HJhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11100222387715095597noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-33859518734424853102012-07-06T20:19:35.867-07:002012-07-06T20:19:35.867-07:00I'll just be pleased to reach the $28 target s...I'll just be pleased to reach the $28 target soon as per SC's forecast. Anything beyond before August is gravy.testy99https://www.blogger.com/profile/03628697944346262377noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-55076305880357720182012-07-06T18:26:36.474-07:002012-07-06T18:26:36.474-07:00VIX To Trade Sideways And Then Up – Way Up
By Abig...VIX To Trade Sideways And Then Up – Way Up<br />By Abigail Doolittle | Stock Markets | Jul 06, 2012<br /><br />http://www.forexpros.com/analysis/vix-to-trade-sideways-and-then-up-%E2%80%93-way-up-128707Makerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13257226242120137196noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-70683028938446205672012-07-06T17:57:57.847-07:002012-07-06T17:57:57.847-07:00Hang in there Shing! Last time they reverse spli...Hang in there Shing! Last time they reverse split UVXY at $5.65 (or thereabouts)....while the ETF managers can do what they want, I don't think we'll see it that low on this cycle. But you are right, we're cutting it very close. I'm sure SC will have some words fo you as well.Makerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13257226242120137196noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-83123996900265273362012-07-06T17:48:33.563-07:002012-07-06T17:48:33.563-07:00Hi SC,
How investors can feel fear? after auguster...Hi SC,<br />How investors can feel fear? after auguster 1st, FED does issue QE3, there must be strong fear in market. three weeks to go. so no matter good or bad data comes out, UVXY won't go up too much. I'm afraid UVXY will get reverse split before Auguster. SC, do you think so? Than you.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17929649285108403631noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-57249615231328905142012-07-06T17:37:01.344-07:002012-07-06T17:37:01.344-07:00Hi SC,
SP is down, but no fear because investors a...Hi SC,<br />SP is down, but no fear because investors are thinking of QE3 should come out at the end of July. the closer to the end of July, the easier for investors being happier. so I'm afraid, when market is going down next week, investors will be happier. they'll see QE3 soon. How UVXY gets up. looks so weird.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17929649285108403631noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-20712387405358997772012-07-06T17:26:56.204-07:002012-07-06T17:26:56.204-07:00depressed today.depressed today.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17929649285108403631noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-11707674858633037032012-07-06T15:04:06.738-07:002012-07-06T15:04:06.738-07:00SC...your magic number is $9.40...UVXY in a big de...SC...your magic number is $9.40...UVXY in a big descending wedge and upper TL is there....a break above and u r off to the races...hope I can steal a few options mon.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-84444979950400497792012-07-06T14:10:41.655-07:002012-07-06T14:10:41.655-07:00Folks,
This is the 5th minior wave up for SnP. ...Folks,<br /><br />This is the 5th minior wave up for SnP. After that, 5 waves down. The EW folks estimate that the 5 down will be swift. The size of the last wave up tonight/Sunday Night/Monday is very vague......but with the decreased volume I expect it will not be too big. Hang in there ... it's coming. I do concur that maybe I should have sat on my cash until now to minimize effects of contango/leakage........a few learning points....but SC has been accurate thus far and I expect we will see his plan in full force soon. I know - preaching to the choir - but words help when emotions are challenged. Hope you all ahve a great weekend! Thanks SC!!Makerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13257226242120137196noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-55192690484190876622012-07-06T13:18:48.920-07:002012-07-06T13:18:48.920-07:00SC,
Other problem is USD is also very strong and ...SC,<br /><br />Other problem is USD is also very strong and market came back and gained almost 50% of their loss today...VIX future dropped another 30 cents after market close,<br /><br />SS76, I agree monday VIX will show 5% but HVU will gain may be 5 cents! LOLStockboomhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02858305761023998639noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-84722609914093937292012-07-06T13:15:20.492-07:002012-07-06T13:15:20.492-07:00Thanks for your reply. I look forward to next week...Thanks for your reply. I look forward to next weeks action.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16417044368313259909noreply@blogger.com