tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post3931437195450811301..comments2024-03-28T11:33:25.049-07:00Comments on Cyclical Market Analysis: $VIX - Cycle 1 Orange ArrowSChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comBlogger83125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-16992840171111984562013-08-23T19:03:56.534-07:002013-08-23T19:03:56.534-07:00SELL end wave 5 - August 2nd-5th 2013
BUY end wa...SELL end wave 5 - August 2nd-5th 2013 <br /><br />BUY end wave A - August 22nd -23rd 2013 <br /><br />SELL B - September 7th-10th 2013 <br /><br />low/buy point C - mid to end of October 2013<br /><br />DavidDT of Trading to WinDavidDThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09415192947906584368noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-46770926274131101672013-08-23T13:49:30.256-07:002013-08-23T13:49:30.256-07:00Dow ,spx,ndx low 21 agoust maybe like up strong t...Dow ,spx,ndx low 21 agoust maybe like up strong to tuesday-wednesday before other correction to 1-3 september,then up strong.This is very easy probably that other scenary is up literally ,bears are killer.<br />In future i do not believe to see other down stockmarket to time march-april 2014 before other rally may-october 2014 or risk more longuer month bull .Dow in 25000 not is dream.<br />True crash is more time february-december 2021,benner and mercury venus conjuction and more danguers....Conanbabhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09193554723127407833noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-50167480060322912852013-08-23T11:43:43.434-07:002013-08-23T11:43:43.434-07:00I'll be doing an update for the VIX Cycle. Th...I'll be doing an update for the VIX Cycle. The orange arrow high did come in a couple days later than shown. So there is a small adjustment for timing needed as a result. SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-38362460620520176822013-08-23T11:42:08.034-07:002013-08-23T11:42:08.034-07:001 Candle on the Cycle has been about 1.5 days for ...1 Candle on the Cycle has been about 1.5 days for VIX roughly. After the hollow candle there is a small pop for VIX. So a dip for SPX can be expected late this month. <br /><br />Once that pop in VIX occurs then there are 4-6 candles to the VIX low. SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-34712264110012228792013-08-23T11:36:42.783-07:002013-08-23T11:36:42.783-07:00Is it one candle per day on the Vix chart? Looks l...Is it one candle per day on the Vix chart? Looks like qnother 4-5 more red DOWN candles after the hollow one.<br /><br />Vix move in sept?PayDayhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00165480697513927357noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-65077543974674633312013-08-23T08:14:07.700-07:002013-08-23T08:14:07.700-07:00In this VIX Cycle after the orange arrow there are...In this VIX Cycle after the orange arrow there are two candles. The hollow red candle low is the second candle after the orange arrow in the Cycle.<br /><br />Surprise, today VIX has a hollow red candle on the daily chart!<br />SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-42173709000164405082013-08-23T08:11:37.742-07:002013-08-23T08:11:37.742-07:00Silver has marched up in tune with my Silver Cycle...Silver has marched up in tune with my Silver Cycle. I think there is more to go but upside is getting less attractive. $2-3 upside is still possible.<br /><br />From the late June turquoise low, the Cycle was only positive for Silver for a couple of months. SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-72857598939392057462013-08-23T07:54:04.968-07:002013-08-23T07:54:04.968-07:00What are your thoughts for Silver here....What are your thoughts for Silver here....SS76https://www.blogger.com/profile/05254142166449670930noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-58775202850669742702013-08-23T07:52:15.726-07:002013-08-23T07:52:15.726-07:00The way this market is moving, the opportunity is ...The way this market is moving, the opportunity is coming soon to make some serious money. Patience here will pay off! SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-22959285177047242162013-08-23T07:48:35.391-07:002013-08-23T07:48:35.391-07:00Thank you!Thank you!SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-16457264583687786732013-08-23T00:03:34.129-07:002013-08-23T00:03:34.129-07:00gerkom
You sound like a real trader and a man th...gerkom <br /><br />You sound like a real trader and a man that stands on his own. How refreshing! sydsydhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03016750624328509354noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-32206006201343323892013-08-22T21:04:21.493-07:002013-08-22T21:04:21.493-07:00SC,
As I've gotten older I understand there ...SC,<br /> <br />As I've gotten older I understand there are no guarantees in life. With that said, I like your style.<br /><br />If I am wrong, I am wrong. I'll move on. I am not trying to substantiate my position. I am looking for "truth/reality".<br /><br />I have made some great trades in the past only to understand there are forces greater that I "QE" that impact my results.<br /><br />You say what you believe, and why. That is all I can ask. The rest "DD" is up to me.<br /><br />Thanks.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-84534379810077012262013-08-22T17:19:28.915-07:002013-08-22T17:19:28.915-07:00Invest
I am not there trying to give you a trade ...Invest<br /><br />I am not there trying to give you a trade only show price and time and my own thoughts! If you don't like it don't visit! joedjoedhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11431570805275310899noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-61012887123639521922013-08-22T10:51:51.373-07:002013-08-22T10:51:51.373-07:00Feel free to post your own trades and ideas, and g...Feel free to post your own trades and ideas, and give your reasoning. <br /><br />SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-71504511918054222592013-08-22T10:46:09.669-07:002013-08-22T10:46:09.669-07:00you mean site like Joed? I dont recall seeing anyt...you mean site like Joed? I dont recall seeing anything negative there, interesting :)Santahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12676163183934734551noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-88317568438052314602013-08-22T10:32:06.440-07:002013-08-22T10:32:06.440-07:00Sc, you need to get over it. If criticism is a pr...Sc, you need to get over it. If criticism is a problem. It is a normal part of dialogue, otherwise all you have is a kind of “patting each other on the back club”. If somebody posts their trades in public, then it implies they invite comments on it. That means you can also say when you think something is a bad trade (or way of trade). Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01917257731586027654noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-88854195105998185572013-08-22T08:29:25.983-07:002013-08-22T08:29:25.983-07:00The Dow is weak and ultimately that is very bearis...The Dow is weak and ultimately that is very bearish with quality companies stock deteriorating. However, the lesser quality Nasdaq and Russell are still afloat relatively speaking. So really it is just a matter of waiting and letting the low quality stock finish.<br /><br />Conclusion we're in the late stages and the evidence supports the Cycles. SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-19904631109795129452013-08-22T08:24:02.877-07:002013-08-22T08:24:02.877-07:00Since I took the profit on my S&P short I'...Since I took the profit on my S&P short I've been just sitting and waiting for a nice, clean setup. I didn't think it was worth going through all of that messy chop we had yesterday. SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-46870346590827842732013-08-22T08:16:23.280-07:002013-08-22T08:16:23.280-07:00Yes, VIX could in Sept. It is possible that UVXY ...Yes, VIX could in Sept. It is possible that UVXY may still put in a higher high than yesterday later this month. I say this because right after that hollow VIX candle, VIX make a little pop there for a lower high. <br /><br />I suspect this may be a higher high for UVXY.SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-59010290687927802022013-08-22T08:10:18.747-07:002013-08-22T08:10:18.747-07:00If the hollow candle is VIX 13 then Vix should ret...If the hollow candle is VIX 13 then Vix should retest 11's...looks like it keepsmdropping after the hollow red.PayDayhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00165480697513927357noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-42943877549732301592013-08-22T07:45:29.046-07:002013-08-22T07:45:29.046-07:00SCAugust 2, 2013 at 10:30 AM
"I think SPX is...SCAugust 2, 2013 at 10:30 AM<br /><br />"I think SPX is setting up for a similar move to what Nikkei did. We're trading in the tight range now that Nikkei was in mid-July, plunge "out of the blue" in about a week. Yes, a "false" downside move that shakes people up. That is the retracement I have been talking about, then the SPX can still see a high after that which is when the bears have the real setup." <br /><br /><br />SCAugust 6, 2013 at 8:04 AM<br /><br />"We'll see a plunge for SPX this month similar to Nikkei in July which will be the dominant move for the month. However, it is just the retracement." <br /><br />SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-60738497726218086902013-08-22T07:19:44.677-07:002013-08-22T07:19:44.677-07:00As of yesterday I do think the orange arrow is in ...As of yesterday I do think the orange arrow is in place. The next step after the orange arrow in the Cycle is for VIX to sink down to test the pink line in the 13's. <br /><br />There are 2 candles after the orange arrow. The hollow candle should in the 13's for VIX around the pink line VIX support.<br /><br />SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-42136314575613526622013-08-22T06:20:21.855-07:002013-08-22T06:20:21.855-07:00I ran a comparison from Aug 5 and see no differenc...I ran a comparison from Aug 5 and see no difference in performance over that time frame overall. However, on a daily basis they can vary in performance. <br /><br />Will keep an eye on that to see if any trend develops in terms of performance.<br /> SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-32753869551095584622013-08-21T20:14:43.400-07:002013-08-21T20:14:43.400-07:00Anyone notice that TVIX is outperforming UVXY of l...Anyone notice that TVIX is outperforming UVXY of late?<br /><br />beetlejuicehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17317530269578300545noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-42284059439926109642013-08-21T14:15:00.460-07:002013-08-21T14:15:00.460-07:00My VIX Cycle model is still intact with VIX in the...My VIX Cycle model is still intact with VIX in the 16's. SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.com