tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post1979871524912240857..comments2024-03-28T11:33:25.049-07:00Comments on Cyclical Market Analysis: $SPX - Target ReachedSChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comBlogger108125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-12029569456252511052013-01-11T20:00:35.103-08:002013-01-11T20:00:35.103-08:00SC, I thank you very much for your spot on calls a...SC, I thank you very much for your spot on calls and analysis. I find them very helpful specially on the rallies. I put down my thoughts above based on prior patterns but my timing could be off too, I just tried to put different things in context for a better perspective. And that imagination is very much needed for special instruments like UVXY. On another note, I traded your deja vu call for a sharp rally and initiated long on 12/26 and BOY I found myself on the loosing end Friday night with a lot of sweat but had no option other than holding on and sure enough on Monday I was break even and made profits later on. I appreciate that call very much and I was lucky to spot it here in your article. No other blogs I read came close to mentioning it. So I know what value it holds. You know your stuff. I wish you luck in lot more learning that will make you even better as you gain experience. Keep it coming man, may God help us all being better.Tusharhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09499696225968891293noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-22007134834484006842013-01-11T17:52:45.063-08:002013-01-11T17:52:45.063-08:00I'm going to review this weekend, but I sure t...I'm going to review this weekend, but I sure think we are close to a turning point.SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-23845355437988266962013-01-11T17:51:04.237-08:002013-01-11T17:51:04.237-08:00Thank you, Tushar.Thank you, Tushar.SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-74141056625699500762013-01-11T17:49:20.454-08:002013-01-11T17:49:20.454-08:00It's coming. I'm going to include a few e...It's coming. I'm going to include a few extra charts and so I'll put it out on the weekend. SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-51745046374818402672013-01-11T17:04:36.624-08:002013-01-11T17:04:36.624-08:00Hi SC
Looking forward to your VIX analysis, wonde...Hi SC<br /><br />Looking forward to your VIX analysis, wondering will it be out today still?<br /><br /><br />Thanks!Santahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12676163183934734551noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-40135063335143196182013-01-11T16:34:58.534-08:002013-01-11T16:34:58.534-08:00SC,
Just checking in, I take it your cycle analys...SC,<br /><br />Just checking in, I take it your cycle analysis of equities is negative next week.Harry235https://www.blogger.com/profile/14376994484115350361noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-48337974984347966432013-01-11T14:57:04.102-08:002013-01-11T14:57:04.102-08:00I would let VIX expire on Tuesday and see UVXY and...I would let VIX expire on Tuesday and see UVXY and VIX futures. May be a couple or three or so trading days later, the newly reset VIX futures at higher level (16 currently) comes down again to may be at 15 (that's a 10% haircut for UVXY and if so, it will be at under 13) and I may have a buy point by Friday or on Monday 21st. And this is all without a drop in cash VIX. Amazing? Yes, sure. Also, remember that most earnings are materialized around 25th January. Hopefully around Friday next week USD can find footings and start rising again. It's been declining for a few days now.Tusharhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09499696225968891293noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-36216719981538194932013-01-11T14:44:57.270-08:002013-01-11T14:44:57.270-08:00ss76 what is your target of tzass76 what is your target of tzarose2797https://www.blogger.com/profile/03282586687131575995noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-33854994370443120582013-01-11T12:27:12.440-08:002013-01-11T12:27:12.440-08:00H2535, cash is a good idea rather than being long ...H2535, cash is a good idea rather than being long at this juncture. I'm personally short with TZA and feel confident about it being almost bottomed.SS76https://www.blogger.com/profile/05254142166449670930noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-64147731104252238132013-01-11T12:07:33.620-08:002013-01-11T12:07:33.620-08:00m myers....email?m myers....email?SS76https://www.blogger.com/profile/05254142166449670930noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-5747958822420527792013-01-11T11:44:56.062-08:002013-01-11T11:44:56.062-08:00Thanks SS76, so it is safe to sit on Cash and watc...Thanks SS76, so it is safe to sit on Cash and watch for now?H2535https://www.blogger.com/profile/16210577408786171899noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-41020410088974361062013-01-11T10:21:33.537-08:002013-01-11T10:21:33.537-08:00SS76 STOP reading my e mail ! LOLLOLSS76 STOP reading my e mail ! LOLLOLAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-41032876611527548332013-01-11T09:56:23.916-08:002013-01-11T09:56:23.916-08:00Lol. I do think there will be boring spots.Lol. I do think there will be boring spots.SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-38928820840361772832013-01-11T09:53:03.130-08:002013-01-11T09:53:03.130-08:00Hi SC
This quiet period, you plan to go on vacati...Hi SC<br /><br />This quiet period, you plan to go on vacation?<br /><br /><br />Thanks!Santahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12676163183934734551noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-33015678505467287582013-01-11T09:49:09.192-08:002013-01-11T09:49:09.192-08:00Again, just to repeat my targets and that I am bei...Again, just to repeat my targets and that I am being more precise on time rather than price. I have always had the next high happening on Jan 14th, approx 1440 SPX (although now it looks higher).<br /><br />The trend turns down from here to March 5th, approx 1320, hangs around there until March 25th, then moves sharply higher to new highs targeting June 11th approximately 1500 -1510.SS76https://www.blogger.com/profile/05254142166449670930noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-43326099243052644352013-01-11T09:46:08.343-08:002013-01-11T09:46:08.343-08:00Thank you. Yes, I plan to make changes.Thank you. Yes, I plan to make changes.SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-36628103264413043182013-01-11T09:44:48.374-08:002013-01-11T09:44:48.374-08:00Well the model calls for a hard drop first then th...Well the model calls for a hard drop first then the quiet period to follow. I will look to exit my trades on that hard drop. Then reload during the quiet period. <br /><br />So I generally agree. SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-28341316259502299942013-01-11T09:43:03.224-08:002013-01-11T09:43:03.224-08:00SC, again I think you need a current trade positio...SC, again I think you need a current trade position page, detailing your buy, sell, and stops. SS76https://www.blogger.com/profile/05254142166449670930noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-10199638745194326012013-01-11T09:36:46.219-08:002013-01-11T09:36:46.219-08:00Hi SC
Looking at your model, looks like quiet pha...Hi SC<br /><br />Looking at your model, looks like quiet phase is next isnt it?<br /><br />During quiet period, doesnt that mean no fear, wont UVXY holder get killed during that period? How come you dont wait till the quiet period almost over? before getting into UVXY?<br /><br /><br />Thanks!Santahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12676163183934734551noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-82994773143146130652013-01-11T09:30:38.444-08:002013-01-11T09:30:38.444-08:00Well I certainly would not let the market go much ...Well I certainly would not let the market go much against me in this situation. Having said that my model predicted a sharp rally, and I am positioned for what the model suggests next. <br /><br />The market will decide as always, and it will decide soon!SChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474760275693948933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-68697222848365249302013-01-11T09:30:10.101-08:002013-01-11T09:30:10.101-08:00I would rather give up a few points (profit) to ma...I would rather give up a few points (profit) to make sure I am on the right trend.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-64560728100605645492013-01-11T09:20:26.806-08:002013-01-11T09:20:26.806-08:00Boy, do I wish I could say that. Usually when it f...Boy, do I wish I could say that. Usually when it feels a "little early" to me, it turns out to be a "lot early". Spudthorpehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14053052022741919186noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-66509020534273936932013-01-11T09:17:23.656-08:002013-01-11T09:17:23.656-08:00I mean dont get me wrong - im mid term bearish but...I mean dont get me wrong - im mid term bearish but do i want to die in the process? <br /><br />no thank you very much.<br /><br />i've been wrong before for prolonged periods of time, eventually we got it, but at what price?<br /><br />this reminds me very much of the 2012 beginning, gap up and run. Nobody was buying it, SC was calling for a crash, but prices just kept going higher and higher and higher...<br /><br />AMhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16653995150217130058noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-86114738260574883062013-01-11T09:15:17.382-08:002013-01-11T09:15:17.382-08:00SC what is your stop on UVXY... of you don't h...SC what is your stop on UVXY... of you don't have one you should quit trading NOWmickhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13800576410993483401noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8765832528826242391.post-42831236935979640582013-01-11T09:10:01.670-08:002013-01-11T09:10:01.670-08:00If this mornings highs are taken out, I will be go...If this mornings highs are taken out, I will be going back long into Monday.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com